Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+265) Philadelphia (-330)

The Philadelphia Phillies (11-8) will take on the Chicago White Sox (3-15) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Chicago at +265 and Philadelphia opens at -330. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Nick Nastrini and Aaron Nola.

As a team, the Chicago White Sox are scoring 2.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 30th in baseball. They have earned 38 runs scored and hold an OBP of .269. The White Sox have tallied 28 doubles as a squad and have knocked 10 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 35 runs batted in and 110 hits on the year, while their team batting average is .196. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .302 and have struck out 153 times, while being walked on 51 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.86 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.39. White Sox pitchers have yielded 24 long balls and also 92 runs (23rd in the league). Chicago has yielded 143 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 77 earned runs. The White Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 4.40 on the year (23rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 141 batters. They have walked 76 batters and their FIP sits at 4.95 as a squad over the course of the season.

The White Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 37.5% and has entered the game in 15 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 40 base runners so far this season and 40.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. White Sox bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 25 times in addition to having 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The White Sox have sent 66 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen have a total of 7 holds this year (25th in MLB). They have recorded 3 saves on the season and have not converted 5 out of their 8 save opportunities.

The Chicago White Sox have earned 472 putouts this year, in addition to 158 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .978 which has them sitting 26th in the majors, and they have turned 13 double plays. The White Sox have converted 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 1,416 innings, which has them sitting 8th in the majors.

Nastrini (0-1 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.00 while he has gone up against 20 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 3 hits (5.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 2 free passes. His earned run average is 3.60 (2 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.000. Nastrini has taken the ball for 5 innings and has earned 5 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

The Phillies have a team slugging % of .371 and they score 3.79 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have hit 17 two-baggers, while walking 64 times and recording 72 runs. Philadelphia has 21 long balls on the year to go along with 69 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 167 occasions (12th in MLB) and have tallied 149 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .308 as well as a batting average of .237 this year.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.215 in addition to having a FIP of 3.34 as a unit so far this season. They are currently ranked 16th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 149. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 78 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.56 (68 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.70 (186 strikeouts against 60 bases on balls). They have allowed 16 dingers and they surrender 4.08 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB).

Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 50.0% out of their 24 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 18 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 21 save situations, the Phillies have earned 12 holds and 3 blown saves. They sit at 13th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 61 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 9 save chances and they have earned 6 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 12 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (19th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 184 assists, 13 errors and have accumulated 516 putouts on the season. In their 1,548 innings played, the Phillies have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (23rd in the majors).

During his career, Nola has allowed 1,254 base knocks while earning 1,601 strikeouts in 1,445 frames. He has allowed 597 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.131 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.21 and he has faced 5,911 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Nola (92-72 career record) has a 3.72 earned run average while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-330)

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