Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+106) New York (-124)

The Chicago Cubs (17-11) are en route to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the New York Mets (14-13). The moneyline on this game has Chicago at +106 and New York is coming in at -124. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Javier Assad and Sean Manaea.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 5.1 runs/g, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball. They have racked up 144 runs while holding a team OBP of .323. The Cubs have accumulated 41 doubles as a unit and have hit 29 baseballs out of the park. They have 134 RBI's and 230 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average comes in at .245. Chicago has a slugging % of .399 and have been called out on strikes 245 times, while taking a walk on 100 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.32. Cubs pitchers have given up 28 home runs and 130 runs (22nd in the league). Chicago has conceded 232 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 117 earned runs. The Cubs have a team earned run average of 4.23 this year (19th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 241 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 95 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.01 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Cubs have dispatched 96 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 47 base runners over the course of the season with 40.4% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 8 saves this season and have missed out on 6 out of their 14 chances to get a save. The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 33 save situations. The bullpen have notched 18 holds over the course of the season (8th in the league). Cubs pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 31 times and also have had 37 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have 746 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 233 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which is 22nd in baseball, and have a total of 18 double plays. The Cubs have transformed 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,238 innings, ranking them 20th in MLB.

Assad (9-5 career mark) has a FIP of 4.18 while he has gone up against 721 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 146 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 70 walks. His ERA is 2.90 (56 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.241. Assad has pitched in 174 frames and has 150 K's so far in his career.

The Mets have a team SLG% of .384 and they are recording 4.56 runs per outing (15th in the league). They have recorded 39 doubles, while taking a walk 93 times and putting up 123 runs. New York is sitting with 30 home runs for the year and 117 RBIs. They have been rung up on 205 occasions (28th in MLB) and are sitting with 225 base hits. The New York Mets have an OBP of .320 in addition to a batting average of .243 so far this year.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.296 in addition to having a FIP of 3.58 as a squad so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.50 (257 strikeouts against 118 walks). They come in at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 197. They have allowed 16 dingers and they allow 4.30 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 116 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.56 (96 earned runs conceded).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have earned 7 saves. They are ranked 12th in MLB with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have sent 91 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 37 times in high leverage situations in addition to 29 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of 38 inherited runners. Sitting with 26 save situations, the Mets have 16 holds in addition to 3 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 22 double plays and have a fielding rate of .979 (28th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 213 assists, 20 errors and have earned 729 putouts on the season. In their 2,187 innings on the field, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (16th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Manaea has surrendered 975 base hits while he has accumulated 952 strikeouts in 1,027 innings pitched. Manaea (66-57 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.08 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 466 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.228 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.33 and he has faced 4,302 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+106)

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