Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Chicago Cubs (51-56) are en route to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (50-55). The expected starting pitchers will be Justin Steele and Frankie Montas.

The Cubs have hit 159 doubles as a unit and have hit 105 baseballs out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging % of .376 and have been called out on strikes 935 times, while taking a walk on 357 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 4.1 runs per contest, which puts them at 24th in the league. They have earned 415 RBI's and 830 hits this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .233. They have 440 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .310.

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The Cubs have an earned run average of 3.72 on the campaign (6th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 916 hitters. Cubs pitchers have given up 111 home runs and also 447 runs (13th in baseball). They have walked 323 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.88 as a unit so far this season. Chicago has surrendered 850 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and 391 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 104 times and also have had 124 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 47 holds for the season (25th in baseball). The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 53.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 91 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves for the year and have blown 20 of their 43 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 152 runners this year and 31.6% of those players ended up scoring. The Cubs have dispatched 323 relievers to the mound this year.

The Cubs have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,505 innings, which has them sitting 14th in MLB. The Chicago Cubs have earned 2,835 putouts thus far, as well as 859 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which is 13th in pro baseball, and have a total of 59 double plays.

Steele has taken the ball for 445 innings and has accumulated 452 K's so far in his MLB career. Steele (26-20 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.21 while he has gone up against 1,870 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.25 (161 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.220. He has allowed 407 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 136 walks.

The Reds have a team SLG% of .390 and they score 4.38 runs per game (15th in the league). They have put up 171 two-baggers, while walking 319 times and notching 460 runs. Cincinnati has accounted for 114 home runs so far this year to go along with 433 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 950 instances (6th in the league) and have a total of 785 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .303 and a team batting average of .228 so far this year.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 425 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.83 (393 earned runs yielded). They have given up 110 long balls and they allow 4.14 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.252 and have a FIP of 4.06 as a unit for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (880 strikeouts vs 330 walks). They are sitting at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 827.

Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.7% of 148 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 104 times in high leverage situations and also on 92 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Reds have 62 holds and also 8 blown saves. They rank 2nd in the league holding a save rate of 73.3%, and they have dispatched 339 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 30 save chances and they have walked away with 22 saves.

In 8,322 innings on the field, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (11th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 63 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 794 assists, 65 errors and have amassed 2,774 putouts on the campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Montas has surrendered 664 base hits while he has accumulated 690 punch outs in 686 innings. Montas (41-43 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.05 earned run average while allowing 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 309 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.314 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.90 and he has faced 2,936 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago

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