Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, July 29, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Marquee

The Chicago Cubs (49-55) are en route to Great American Ball Park on Monday where they will play the Cincinnati Reds (49-53). The starting pitchers are Jameson Taillon and Frankie Montas.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 24th in the league. They have a total of 424 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .310. The Cubs have compiled 154 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 102 balls out of the park. They have 399 RBI's and 805 hits so far this year, and their batting average comes in at .233. Chicago has a slugging rate of .375 and have been called out on strikes 917 times, while being walked on 349 occasions.

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The Cubs hold a team ERA of 3.70 for the year (6th in MLB), and they have rung up 899 batters. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 108 home runs and also 434 runs in total (14th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 320 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.88 as a team so far this season. Chicago has given up 826 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 378 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25.

Cubs bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 101 times in addition to having 122 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 44 holds for the season (26th in baseball). The Cubs relief pitchers have a save rate of 54.8% and has come into the game in 87 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves this year and have blown 19 of their 42 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 149 runners for the season and 31.5% of those runners ended up scoring. The Cubs have dispatched 315 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Chicago Cubs have accounted for 2,757 putouts for the season, as well as 834 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them sitting 15th in MLB, and have a total of 59 double plays. The Cubs have turned 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,271 innings, which has them sitting at 11th in baseball.

Taillon (66-50 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.85 and he has gone up against 4,343 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 1,012 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 255 walks. His ERA is 3.91 (452 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.217. Taillon has pitched in 1,041 frames and has totaled 928 K's thus far in his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an OBP of .305 and a team batting average of .231 so far this season. They have struck out on 922 instances (6th in baseball) and have totaled 772 hits. Cincinnati has recorded 114 home runs so far this season as well as 429 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .397 and they score 4.47 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have hit 169 two-baggers, while getting a free base 313 times and scoring 456 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 417 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.86 (385 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 108 long balls and they relinquish 4.18 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.257 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a squad on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (859 strikeouts vs 320 walks). They are sitting at 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 809.

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.8% of 144 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 100 times in high leverage situations and also on 89 occasions with runners on base. With 92 save situations, the Reds have recorded 62 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They rank 1st in baseball holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 331 relievers to the mound this year. Cincinnati has called on relievers to take the mound in 28 save opportunities and they have walked away with 21 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 62 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (27th in professional baseball). The Reds have racked up 768 assists, 65 errors and have 2,696 putouts for the season. Out of their 8,088 innings played, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Montas has surrendered 664 base hits while earning 690 K's in 686 innings. He has allowed 309 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.314 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.90 and he has gone up against 2,936 hitters so far in his career. Montas (41-43 career mark) has a 4.05 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago

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