Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+108) Boston (-126)

The Chicago Cubs (17-9) are on their way to Fenway Park on Sunday where they will meet the Boston Red Sox (14-13). The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at +108 and the Red Sox are sitting at -126. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Ben Brown and Josh Winckowski.

The Cubs have accumulated 40 doubles as a team and have hit 28 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging % of .411 and have been rung up 226 times, while drawing a walk on 98 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are recording 5.4 runs per game, which is 5th in MLB. They have recorded 130 runs batted in and 218 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .250. They are sitting with 140 runs and have an OBP of .330.

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The Cubs have a team ERA of 3.71 for the year (10th in MLB), and they have rung up 226 hitters. Cubs pitchers have conceded 26 long balls and also 108 runs in total (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 88 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a unit on the year. Chicago has given up 202 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 96 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Cubs have sent 88 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 41 runners this season with 36.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 8 saves over the course of the season and have blown 6 of their 14 chances to save the game. The Cubs bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 33 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 18 holds over the course of the season (4th in MLB). Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 28 times in addition to having 36 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cubs have transformed 70.6% of balls in play into outs in their 2,094 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with 698 putouts for the season, in addition to 220 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 19th in the majors, and have a total of 18 double plays.

Brown has taken the mound for 284 innings and has racked up 295 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.60 (114 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.198. He has surrendered 243 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 98 walks. Brown (18-21 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.42 and he has gone up against 1,188 batters during his time in the majors.

Boston has hit 34 HRs so far this season to go along with 111 runs batted in. They have put up 40 doubles, while walking 88 times and putting up 117 runs. The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .235 for the year. The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .400 and they score 4.33 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have struck out on 270 instances (1st in the league) and have a total of 216 hits.

The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 102 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 2.73 (74 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 21 dingers and they allow 3.76 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.151 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.35 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (235 strikeouts against 72 free passes). They sit at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 209.

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 14 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves. They rank 21st in the league with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 84 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 37 times in high leverage situations and on 20 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.5% of 24 inherited runners. With 30 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 16 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 19 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .976 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 242 assists, 24 errors and have 733 putouts this season. Out of their 2,199 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Winckowski has surrendered 972 base knocks while he has tallied 944 strikeouts in 1,070 innings pitched. Winckowski (69-56 record in his career) has a 3.97 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 472 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.239 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.66 and he has gone up against 4,504 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (+108)

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