Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/27/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The Boston Red Sox (14-12) welcome the Chicago Cubs (16-9) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Ben Brown and Josh Winckowski.

The Cubs have earned 37 doubles as a unit and have smacked 28 baseballs out of the park. Chicago has a slugging % of .410 and have struck out 220 times, while being walked on 97 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are recording 5.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 5th in baseball. They have tallied 123 RBI's in addition to 204 hits so far this year, and their batting average sits at .245. They are sitting with 133 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .328.

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The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 3.82 on the campaign (12th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 217 hitters. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 25 home runs and also 107 total runs (14th in the league). They have walked 86 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.96 as a squad over the course of the season. Chicago has relinquished 195 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 95 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26.

The Cubs relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has entered the game in 33 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 40 runners over the course of the season and 37.5% of those players ended up scoring. Cubs pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 27 times and also have had 36 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 87 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have tallied 18 holds for the season (4th in the league). They have tallied 8 saves this season and have blown 6 of their 14 save opportunities.

The Cubs have turned 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,013 innings on the field, which ranks them 10th in pro baseball. The Chicago Cubs have a tally of 671 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 213 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them sitting 16th in baseball, and they have turned 17 double plays.

Brown (0-0 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.88 and he has faced 75 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 14 hits (6.5 hits per nine innings) and has 6 walks. His earned run average is 3.72 (8 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.034. Brown has pitched in 19 innings and is sitting with 18 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .402 and they are recording 4.46 runs per outing (13th in MLB). They have put up 39 doubles, while taking a walk 86 times as well as scoring 116 runs. Boston has a total of 33 home runs on the season to go along with 110 RBIs. They have struck out on 261 instances (1st in baseball) and have earned a total of 209 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .310 as well as a team batting average of .236 so far this year.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.131 and have a FIP of 3.41 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (229 strikeouts against 71 free passes). They come in at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 195. They have surrendered 21 homers and they allow 3.64 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have given up 95 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 2.60 (68 earned runs yielded).

Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 37.5% of 24 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 37 times in high leverage situations and on 20 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 30 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 16 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They are ranked 21st in the league holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 82 relievers to the hill for the season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 14 save opportunities and they have earned 8 saves.

In 2,118 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (12th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 18 double plays and have a fielding rate of .976 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 235 assists, 23 errors and have a total of 706 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Winckowski has given up 193 hits and he has 144 punch outs in 169 innings. He has surrendered 80 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.527 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and he has gone up against 757 batters during his pro baseball career. Winckowski (10-12 mark in his career) holds a 4.24 ERA while giving up 10.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago

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