Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/23/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, September 23, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (73-80) will take on the Boston Red Sox (76-77) on Monday. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tanner Houck and Bowden Francis.

Boston has a slugging rate of .427 and have been called out on strikes 1,488 times, while taking a walk on 456 occasions. They have accrued 689 runs batted in and 1,333 hits for the year, and their team batting average is .253. The Red Sox have earned 292 doubles as a team and have hit 189 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 715 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .318. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 10th in baseball.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 4.11 this season (17th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,295 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 187 home runs and 717 runs in total (23rd in MLB). They have walked 433 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a squad so far this year. Boston has given up 1,293 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) and 625 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

Red Sox pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 153 times in addition to having 180 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 79 holds on the season (16th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 55.9% and has come into the game in 151 save situations. They have compiled 38 saves this year and have blown 30 of their 68 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 215 base runners this year and 34.4% of those runners crossed home plate. The Red Sox have sent 497 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have earned 4,106 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,354 assists and 109 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .980 which ranks 30th in MLB, and they have turned 109 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,318 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 21st in baseball.

Houck (23-29 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.54 while facing 1,784 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 371 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 140 free passes. His ERA is 3.60 (170 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.202. Houck has taken the mound for 425 innings and has earned 417 K's during his career.

Toronto has accumulated 153 HRs for the season to go along with 616 RBIs. They have recorded 269 doubles, while getting a free base 480 times as well as notching 647 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded an OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .242 over the course of the season. The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .394 and they are earning 4.23 runs per game (19th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,167 instances (25th in the league) and have recorded 1,239 hits.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 698 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.26 (638 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 200 dingers and they allow 4.66 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.265 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.46 as a staff for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (1,245 strikeouts vs 470 free passes). They are sitting at 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,236.

Toronto relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.3% out of 230 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 148 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 142 save situations, the Blue Jays have 82 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have sent 514 relievers to the hill this season. Toronto has called on relievers to enter the contest in 57 save opportunities and they have earned 36 saves.

In 12,135 innings on the field, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (8th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 116 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in baseball). The Blue Jays have 1,269 assists, 88 errors and are sitting with 4,045 putouts for the year.

Francis (9-5 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.00 earned run average while allowing 6.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.28 and he has gone up against 529 opposing hitters in his career. He has allowed a total of 45 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.910 and a FIP of 3.0. During his career, Francis has conceded 94 base hits while he has accumulated 124 strikeouts in 135 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto

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