Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/19/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Thursday, September 19, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-107) Tampa Bay (-113)

Tropicana Field is where the Tampa Bay Rays (74-77) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (75-76) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Red Sox at -107 and the Rays are coming in at -113. The over/under is set at 7.5. The men taking the mound will be Brayan Bello and Zack Littell.

Boston is slugging .429 and have struck out 1,463 times, while taking a walk on 455 occasions. They have earned 687 RBI's and 1,326 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .254. The Red Sox have accumulated 291 doubles as a squad and have hit 188 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 713 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .320. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.7 runs/g, which is 9th in MLB.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.15 so far this year (19th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,274 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 187 long balls and 714 runs (23rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 429 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.19 as a squad on the campaign. Boston has given up 1,278 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 623 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 152 times as well as having 177 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 78 holds so far this season (16th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 55.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 149 save situations. They have 37 saves on the year and have not converted 30 of 67 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 214 runners for the season and 34.6% of them ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 489 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 4,055 putouts on the year, as well as 1,334 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .980 which is 30th in the majors, and they have turned 107 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,165 innings, which has them ranked 20th in professional baseball.

Bello has taken the mound for 367 innings and has earned 329 K's so far in his career. Bello (28-26 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.40 while he has gone up against 1,598 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.46 (182 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.422. He has given up 390 base hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 132 free passes.

The Tampa Bay Rays have compiled a team OBP of .304 in addition to a batting average of .231 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,389 occasions (6th in the league) and have tallied 1,166 base knocks. Tampa Bay has tallied 140 home runs on the year as well as 539 runs batted in. The Rays hold a team slugging % of .370 and they average 3.83 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have recorded 238 doubles, while getting a free base 471 times and putting up 578 runs.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.217 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.19 as a squad so far this season. They rank 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,212. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have relinquished 637 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.87 (579 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,288 strikeouts vs 425 free passes). They have relinquished 192 long balls and they concede 4.26 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

With 166 save situations, the Rays have tallied 98 holds and 20 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 66 save opportunities and they have walked away with 46 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 188 times in high leverage situations and also on 117 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.0% out of their 171 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB with a save rate of 69.7%, and they have sent 507 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 104 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in baseball). The Rays have 1,194 assists, 86 errors and have earned a total of 4,037 putouts for the season. In their 12,111 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (7th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Littell has given up 415 hits while tallying 352 K's in 403 innings pitched. Littell (23-20 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.97 ERA while conceding 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 178 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.42 and he has gone up against 1,712 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-107)

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