Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 3/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, March 29, 2024

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+155) Seattle (-190)

The Seattle Mariners (88-74 last season) are welcoming the Boston Red Sox (78-84 last year) at T-Mobile Park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +155 and the Mariners are at -190. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and George Kirby.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox scored 4.8 runs/g, which was 11th in the league. They notched a total of 772 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. The Red Sox hit 339 doubles as a unit and knocked 182 balls out of the stadium. They had 734 runs batted in as well as 1,437 base knocks during the previous year, and their batting average came in at .258. Boston had a slugging percentage of .424 and struck out 1,372 times, while drawing a walk on 486 occasions.

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The Red Sox had a team ERA of 4.52 in the prior season (21st in the league), and the staff struck out 1,423 hitters. Red Sox pitchers yielded 208 long balls and 776 runs in total (21st in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 497 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.37 as a squad last year. Boston surrendered 1,416 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 718 earned runs. They had a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.34.

The Red Sox bullpen accumulated a save percentage of 72.9% and stepped onto the hill in 127 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 178 base runners last year and 31.5% of those runners ended up scoring. Red Sox relief pitchers entered the game with runners on 117 times as well as having 150 contests in high leverage situations. The Red Sox had sent 514 relief pitchers to the mound in the previous season. The bullpen racked up 67 holds in the previous season (27th in the league). They compiled 43 saves during the previous year and did not convert 16 out of their 59 save chances.

The Boston Red Sox earned 4,290 putouts during the previous year, as well as 1,429 assists and 102 errors. Their fielding rate was at .982 which was 28th in professional baseball, and had 137 double plays. The Red Sox converted 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,870 innings on the diamond, which had them ranked 28th in professional baseball.

Pivetta (50-59 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.41 and he has gone up against 3,791 batters in the majors. He has given up 850 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 341 free passes. His earned run average is 4.86 (477 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.348. Pivetta has thrown 883 innings and has accumulated 967 punch outs during his career.

Seattle accounted for 210 home runs last season in addition to 728 runs batted in. They tallied 283 two-baggers, while getting a free base 548 times as well as recording 758 runs. The Seattle Mariners tallied an on-base percentage of .321 as well as a batting average of .242 during the previous year. The Mariners held a slugging % of .413 and they were earning 4.68 runs per game (12th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 1,603 occasions (2nd in MLB) and had 1,332 base hits.

The Mariners finished with a team WHIP of 1.188 with a FIP of 3.88 as a unit during the previous year. They were sitting at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,300. The Seattle pitching staff given up 659 runs during the previous year while having an ERA of 3.74 (602 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 9.10 (1,459 strikeouts against 421 free passes). They allowed 184 HR's and they relinquished 4.09 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

Seattle relievers held an inherited score rate of 25.8% out of their 198 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers took the field 183 times in high leverage situations and on 150 occasions with base runners. Ending the season with 165 save situations, the Mariners compiled 98 holds and also 20 blown saves. They were sitting at 7th in MLB with a save rate of 68.8%, and they sent 550 relievers onto the field last year. Seattle had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 64 save chances and they recorded 44 saves.

Out of their 13,044 innings played, the Mariners finished with a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (7th in professional baseball). The Seattle Mariners had 123 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (8th in baseball). The Mariners racked up 1,379 assists, 73 errors and earned a total of 4,348 putouts in the prior season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Kirby has surrendered 314 base hits while he has earned 305 strikeouts in 320 innings. He has conceded a total of 120 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.107 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.44 and he has faced 1,299 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Kirby (21-15 career mark) has a 3.37 ERA and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Seattle (-190) and under 7.5 runs

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