Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 3/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+155) Seattle (-190)

The Boston Red Sox (78-84 last year) are hitting the road to T-Mobile Park on Thursday where they will try to beat the Seattle Mariners (88-74 last season). The odds on this game have Boston at +155 while Seattle is coming in at -190. The total comes in at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Brayan Bello and Luis Castillo.

The Red Sox accounted for 339 doubles as a team and knocked 182 baseballs out of the park. Boston had a slugging percentage of .424 and were called out on strikes 1,372 times, while taking a walk on 486 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox put up 4.8 runs per outing, which ranked them 11th in baseball. They earned 734 RBI's and 1,437 base knocks last year, while their batting average was .258. They racked up 772 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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They earned a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.34. Red Sox pitchers gave up 208 home runs and 776 runs in total (21st in the league). Boston yielded 1,416 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and also 718 earned runs. The Red Sox held a team ERA of 4.52 during the previous year (21st in the league), and the staff struck out 1,423 batters. Their pitching staff walked 497 opposing batters and their FIP was 4.37 as a unit last season.

Red Sox relief pitchers entered the game with runners on 117 times as well as having 150 games in high leverage situations. The bullpen finished with 67 holds last year (27th in the league). The Red Sox relievers compiled a save rate of 72.9% and stepped onto the mound in 127 save situations. They recorded 43 saves during the previous year and blew 16 out of their 59 save opportunities. The bullpen inherited 178 runners for the previous season with 31.5% of those runners crossed home plate. The Red Sox had dispatched 514 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the prior season.

The Boston Red Sox earned 4,290 putouts during the previous year, in addition to 1,429 assists and 102 errors. Their fielding percentage held at .982 which ranked 28th in baseball, and they turned 137 double plays. The Red Sox converted 67.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,870 innings on the field, which had them sitting 28th in baseball.

Bello has pitched in 214 frames and has accumulated 187 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.37 (104 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.456. He has given up 240 hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) and has 72 free passes. Bello (14-19 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.11 and he has faced 936 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Seattle Mariners had a team OBP of .321 and a team batting average of .242 in the previous season. They struck out on 1,603 occasions (2nd in MLB) and accounted for 1,332 base hits. Seattle recorded 210 home runs for the prior year and 728 RBIs. The Mariners had a slugging percentage of .413 and they were scoring 4.68 runs per game (12th in baseball). They recorded 283 doubles, while walking 548 times and putting up 758 runs.

The Seattle pitching staff conceded 659 runs for the previous season while having a team ERA of 3.74 (602 earned runs surrendered). They allowed 184 dingers and they allowed 4.09 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Mariners held a team WHIP of 1.188 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a unit during the previous year. Their K/BB ratio was 9.10 (1,459 strikeouts against 421 walks). They ranked 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,300.

With 165 save situations, the Mariners tallied 98 holds and also 20 blown saves. Seattle called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 64 save chances and they walked away with 44 saves. Their relief pitchers took the field 183 times in high leverage situations in addition to 150 occasions with runners on. Seattle relief pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 25.8% of 198 inherited runners. They ranked 7th in baseball holding a save rate of 68.8%, and they sent 550 bullpen pitchers onto the field last season.

The Seattle Mariners turned 123 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in the majors). The Mariners had 1,379 assists, 73 errors and had a total of 4,348 putouts last year. Out of their 13,044 innings on the diamond, the Mariners had a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (7th in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Castillo has conceded 882 hits while he has earned 1,156 punch outs in 1,054 innings. He has given up a total of 415 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and he has faced 4,360 hitters in his MLB career. Castillo (62-64 career record) is the owner of a 3.54 earned run average while conceding 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-190)

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