Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+105) Pittsburgh (-125)

The Boston Red Sox (10-10) are on their way to PNC Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-8). The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +105 and the Pirates are at -125. The total is 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Josh Winckowski and Martin Perez.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.3 runs/g, which is 17th in the league. They have notched a total of 85 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .298. The Red Sox have tallied 26 doubles as a squad and have smacked 24 balls out of the park. They have compiled 80 RBI's as well as 151 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average is .224. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .378 and have struck out 202 times, while drawing a walk on 67 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.57 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.14. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 17 home runs and 81 runs in total (15th in MLB). Boston has surrendered 156 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 55 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 2.70 on the year (1st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 189 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 53 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.37 as a team on the year.

Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 19 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 12 holds so far this season (8th in MLB). The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 53.8% and has come into the game in 25 save situations. They have recorded 7 saves this season and have missed out on 6 of 13 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 22 runners this season with 36.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have sent 63 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Red Sox have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 1,650 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 19th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 550 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 176 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .973 which is 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 11 double plays.

Winckowski has taken the hill for 166 innings and is sitting with 143 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.27 (79 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.539. He has given up 190 hits (10.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 66 free passes. Winckowski (10-12 career record) holds a FIP of 4.33 while facing 745 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Pirates hold a team slugging % of .361 and they are earning 4.84 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have notched 29 two-baggers, while getting a free base 88 times as well as racking up 92 runs. Pittsburgh has accounted for 16 home runs on the season as well as 87 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 190 occasions (4th in baseball) and have notched a total of 164 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .332 as well as a batting average of .244 on the year.

The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.169 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.57 as a unit on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (161 strikeouts against 52 walks). They rank 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 148. They have given up 16 long balls and they give up 4.26 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have relinquished 81 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.95 (75 earned runs relinquished).

Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.0% of 40 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 30 times in high leverage situations and on 26 occasions with base runners. With 25 save situations, the Pirates have accumulated 12 holds and also 7 blown saves. They rank 23rd in baseball holding a save rate of 46.2%, and they have sent 65 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 13 save chances and they have converted 6 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 19 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (24th in professional baseball). The Pirates have racked up 155 assists, 14 errors and have amassed 514 putouts so far this season. In 1,542 innings on the diamond, the Pirates hold a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (12th in professional baseball).

Perez (86-81 career mark) is the owner of a 4.40 ERA while conceding 9.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.94 and he has gone up against 6,355 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has given up 717 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.439 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. In his career, Perez has surrendered 1,583 base knocks while earning 1,018 strikeouts in 1,465 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+105)

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