Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+152) New York (-180)

Yankee Stadium is the site where the New York Yankees (54-36) will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (48-39) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +152 and the Yankees are priced at -180. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Kutter Crawford and Luis Gil.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 11th in baseball. They have accumulated 407 runs scored while having a team OBP of .322. The Red Sox have tallied 156 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 99 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 390 runs batted in and 758 hits so far this year, and their team batting average is .253. Boston has a slugging % of .419 and have been rung up 830 times, while taking a walk on 278 occasions.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.53 so far this year (4th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 758 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 86 home runs and 364 runs in total (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 226 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.66 as a unit this season. Boston has yielded 701 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 307 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.35 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.19.

The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 65.7% and has entered the game in 79 save situations. The relievers have inherited 97 runners on the year with 30.9% of them earned a run for their team. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 71 times as well as having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 267 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have earned 42 holds on the campaign (19th in the league). They have tallied 23 saves this year and have blown 12 of their 35 save opportunities.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with 2,347 putouts this year, in addition to 754 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .979 which is 30th in the majors, and have accumulated 61 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,041 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 21st in the majors.

Crawford has taken the hill for 306 innings and is sitting with 316 K's in his pro baseball career. Crawford (13-22 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.28 while he has faced 1,280 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.35 (148 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.204. He has given up 274 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 95 free passes.

New York has accumulated 127 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 431 RBIs. They have recorded 126 two-baggers, while getting a free base 354 times and putting up 450 runs. The New York Yankees have recorded a team OBP of .330 and a team batting average of .247 this season. The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .425 and they average 5.00 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 715 instances (19th in the league) and have 743 base hits.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.210 with a FIP of 4.18 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (769 strikeouts vs 299 walks). They sit at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 672. They have allowed 99 dingers and they allow 3.99 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have yielded 356 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.59 (320 earned runs relinquished).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.8% out of 159 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 79 times in high leverage situations and also on 104 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Yankees have earned 41 holds and also 11 blown saves. They rank 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 69.4%, and they have sent 278 relief pitchers to the mound this year. New York has had relief pitchers take the mound in 36 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in baseball). The Yankees have racked up 724 assists, 53 errors and have earned 2,408 putouts for the year. Out of their 7,224 innings played, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (4th in MLB).

Gil (10-5 career record) has earned a 3.53 earned run average while allowing 5.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.10 and he has gone up against 520 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 48 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.202 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. During his career, Gil has conceded 78 base hits while totaling 145 strikeouts in 122 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+152)

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