Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+113) New York (-135)

The Boston Red Sox (70-68) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the New York Mets (74-64). The odds on this game have Boston at +113 and New York is coming in at -135. The over/under has been set at O8.0. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tanner Houck and Tylor Megill.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have tallied 659 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322. The Red Sox have tallied 271 doubles as a unit and have hit 172 balls out of the park. They have compiled 635 RBI's in addition to 1,226 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average sits at .256. Boston has a slugging rate of .433 and have been called out on strikes 1,332 times, while being walked on 419 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 168 long balls in addition to 654 total runs (25th in the league). Boston has given up 1,171 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 568 earned runs. The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.13 for the year (16th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,165 batters. They have walked 380 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.14 as a squad on the season.

The Red Sox have sent 441 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 186 runners on the year with 33.9% of those players earned a run for their team. They have tallied 34 saves on the season and have not converted 28 of 62 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 54.8% and has come into the game in 138 save situations. The relievers have 72 holds this year (13th in MLB). Red Sox pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 135 times and also have had 159 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,148 innings on the field, which has them ranked 21st in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have a total of 3,716 putouts this season, in addition to 1,223 assists and 101 errors. Their fielding rate is at .980 which has them ranked 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 98 double plays.

Houck (23-28 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.51 while he has gone up against 1,747 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 362 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 139 free passes. His earned run average is 3.57 (165 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.204. Houck has taken the hill for 416 frames and has earned 406 strikeouts during his career.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .419 and they have an average of 4.75 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have 254 two-baggers, while taking a walk 439 times as well as putting up 655 runs. New York has recorded 175 long balls on the season as well as 627 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,181 occasions (13th in MLB) and have a total of 1,178 base hits. The New York Mets have earned an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .249 on the year.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.286 in addition to having a FIP of 4.24 as a staff so far this year. They are sitting at 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,067. The New York pitching staff have allowed 611 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.05 (553 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,216 strikeouts vs 515 free passes). They have given up 149 long balls and they concede 4.47 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

With 145 save situations, the Mets have compiled 88 holds and 22 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 57 save opportunities and they have tallied 35 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.8% out of their 177 inherited base runners. They rank 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 61.4%, and they have dispatched 439 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The New York Mets have gotten 112 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,209 assists, 85 errors and have accumulated 3,692 putouts this season. In their 11,076 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (13th in pro baseball).

Megill (20-21 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.74 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and he has gone up against 1,378 hitters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 166 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.415 and a FIP of 4.7. In his pro baseball career, Megill has given up 325 base knocks while he has tallied 316 punch outs in 315 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-135)

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