Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/3/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 3, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (73-64) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (70-67) on Tuesday. The expected starting pitchers are Kutter Crawford and David Peterson.

The Red Sox have tallied 271 doubles as a unit and have hit 172 balls out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging rate of .434 and have struck out 1,323 times, while taking a walk on 416 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in baseball. They have compiled 634 runs batted in in addition to 1,220 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .256. They have 658 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 168 long balls and 650 runs (25th in the league). Boston has given up 1,163 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 564 earned runs. The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.12 so far this year (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,157 batters. They have walked 378 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.15 as a squad over the course of the season.

Red Sox pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 135 times in addition to having 159 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 72 holds so far this year (13th in baseball). The Red Sox relievers have compiled a save rate of 54.8% and has come into the game in 138 save situations. They have compiled 34 saves for the season and have blown 28 out of their 62 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 186 base runners so far this season with 33.9% of those players earned a run for their team. The Red Sox have sent 440 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Red Sox have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,076 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 21st in pro baseball. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 3,692 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,211 assists and 99 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .980 which is 30th in the majors, and have accumulated 96 double plays.

Crawford (17-27 career record) has a FIP of 4.42 while he has gone up against 1,511 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 321 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 109 free passes. His ERA is 4.49 (181 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.184. Crawford has pitched in 363 innings and has totaled 355 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

New York has recorded 175 home runs this season to go along with 625 runs batted in. They have put up 251 two-baggers, while getting a free base 437 times as well as putting up 651 runs. The New York Mets have earned an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .249 on the year. The Mets have a team SLG% of .419 and they are recording 4.75 runs per outing (11th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,173 occasions (13th in the league) and have totaled 1,170 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 610 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.07 (552 earned runs given up). They have given up 149 long balls and they relinquish 4.50 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.288 with a FIP of 4.24 as a team for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,207 strikeouts vs 512 walks). They come in at 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,061.

Sitting with 143 save situations, the Mets have 87 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 56 save chances and they have come away with 34 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 151 times in high leverage situations and on 131 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.8% out of 177 inherited runners. They rank 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 60.7%, and they have dispatched 437 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The New York Mets have turned 110 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,201 assists, 85 errors and have amassed 3,665 putouts so far this season. Out of their 10,995 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (13th in MLB).

During his pro baseball career, Peterson has surrendered 400 base hits while he has earned 433 punch outs in 424 innings pitched. Peterson (26-22 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.16 ERA while conceding 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 196 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.390 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.28 and he has gone up against 1,828 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York

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