Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/2/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, September 2, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

The Boston Red Sox (69-65) are en route to Citi Field on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (70-64). The starting pitchers are Brayan Bello and Luis Severino.

Boston is slugging .435 and have been rung up 1,299 times, while drawing a walk on 412 occasions. They have compiled 625 runs batted in in addition to 1,201 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .258. The Red Sox have accounted for 266 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 168 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 649 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .324. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in baseball.

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The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.14 on the campaign (19th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,126 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 165 home runs and also 639 runs in total (26th in the league). They have walked 373 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a squad over the course of the season. Boston has allowed 1,145 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 554 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 55.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 135 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 184 base runners this season and 34.2% of them ended up scoring. Red Sox relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 132 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 430 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The bullpen are sitting with 71 holds on the year (13th in the league). They have earned 33 saves on the campaign and have not converted 27 out of their 60 chances to get a save.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with 3,614 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,190 assists and 98 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .980 which is 30th in MLB, and have 95 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,842 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 21st in MLB.

Bello (26-25 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.41 while he has faced 1,528 batters in the majors. He has given up 376 base hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 124 free passes. His earned run average is 4.48 (175 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.421. Bello has taken the ball for 352 innings and has earned 318 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

New York has recorded 171 home runs on the season as well as 613 RBIs. They have hit 248 doubles, while getting a free base 425 times as well as recording 639 runs. The New York Mets have a team on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .249 so far this season. The Mets hold a slugging % of .420 and they average 4.77 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,139 occasions (15th in the league) and have a total of 1,143 base knocks.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 606 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.14 (549 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 149 homers and they concede 4.57 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.299 and have a FIP of 4.29 as a staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,179 strikeouts vs 506 free passes). They are sitting at 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,045.

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of 176 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 149 times in high leverage situations in addition to 130 occasions with runners on. With 134 save situations, the Mets have earned 80 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. They rank 24th in baseball with a save rate of 59.3%, and they have dispatched 427 relievers onto the field on the campaign. New York has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 54 save chances and they have come away with 32 saves.

Out of their 10,752 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in the majors). The New York Mets have gotten 109 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in baseball). The Mets have racked up 1,179 assists, 85 errors and have notched a total of 3,584 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Severino has given up 787 hits while he has accumulated 919 K's in 879 frames. He has given up a total of 373 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.199 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.44 and he has gone up against 3,666 hitters so far in his MLB career. Severino (63-43 career record) holds a 3.82 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston

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