Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+145) Minnesota (-175)

The Boston Red Sox (18-15) are headed to Target Field on Sunday where they will take on the Minnesota Twins (18-13). The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +145 and the Twins are at -175. The total is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Cooper Criswell and Joe Ryan.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are recording 4.6 runs per outing, which is 13th in the league. They have accumulated 152 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. The Red Sox have accounted for 56 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 36 balls out of the park. They have accrued 146 RBI's and 275 hits on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .245. Boston has a slugging percentage of .405 and have struck out 327 times, while taking a walk on 111 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.39 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.10. Red Sox pitchers have given up 24 long balls and also 116 runs in total (4th in the league). Boston has conceded 244 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 88 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team earned run average of 2.66 for the season (1st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 281 hitters. They have walked 83 hitters and their FIP is 3.28 as a team on the year.

The Red Sox bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 53.3% and has come into the game in 32 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 31 base runners on the season and 38.7% of those players crossed home plate. Red Sox pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 24 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 101 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have earned 16 holds for the year (21st in baseball). They have recorded 8 saves so far this season and have blown 7 out of their 15 save opportunities.

The Red Sox have transformed 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,676 innings, which ranks them 9th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 892 putouts for the season, as well as 295 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .979 which has them sitting 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 24 double plays.

Criswell has taken the ball for 54 innings and has earned 42 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Criswell (3-3 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.45 while facing 238 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.67 (28 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.407. He has surrendered 61 hits (10.2 hits per nine innings) with 15 free passes.

Minnesota has accounted for 32 HRs on the year and 136 runs batted in. They have tallied 63 doubles, while walking 103 times and earning 148 runs. The Minnesota Twins have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .239 over the course of the season. The Twins have a team slugging percentage of .402 and they score 4.77 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have been rung up on 286 occasions (10th in MLB) and have recorded 250 hits.

The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 130 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.89 (119 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 38 home runs and they allow 4.25 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.200 with a FIP of 3.72 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.90 (304 strikeouts vs 79 free passes). They are sitting at 12th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 251.

Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 41.0% out of 39 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 38 times in high leverage situations and on 26 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Twins have accrued 23 holds and also 4 blown saves. They rank 10th in baseball holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 100 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Minnesota has had relievers enter the game in 14 save chances and they have walked away with 10 saves.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 14 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB). The Twins have 224 assists, 12 errors and have amassed 826 putouts this year. In their 2,478 innings on the field, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (19th in MLB).

Ryan (27-20 mark in his career) has a 3.99 earned run average and has given up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.60 and he has gone up against 1,515 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 164 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.103 and having a FIP of 3.9. So far in his career, Ryan has conceded 317 hits while earning 419 punch outs in 370 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (-175)

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