Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-104) Minnesota (-112)

The Minnesota Twins (17-13) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (18-14) at Target Field on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Red Sox at -104 while the Twins are priced at -112. The total is 8. The starting pitchers will be Chase Anderson and Pablo Lopez.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 11th in baseball. They are sitting with 150 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .325. The Red Sox have compiled 54 two-baggers as a team and have hit 36 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 144 runs batted in and 271 hits for the season, and their batting average sits at .248. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .411 and have struck out 314 times, while taking a walk on 110 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.47 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.09. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 24 home runs in addition to 111 runs in total (4th in MLB). Boston has conceded 236 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and also 83 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 2.58 this year (1st in MLB), and their staff has struck out 274 hitters. They have walked 79 batters and their FIP sits at 3.30 as a squad on the season.

The Red Sox have dispatched 100 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 29 base runners on the year and 34.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 8 saves for the year and have blown 7 out of their 15 chances to get a save. The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 53.3% and has come into the game in 32 save situations. The relievers have racked up 16 holds so far this year (20th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 23 times and also have had 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have amassed 868 putouts for the season, as well as 286 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .979 which is 29th in the majors, and have 23 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,604 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 7th in the majors.

Anderson has taken the ball for 1,063 frames and has accounted for 889 punch outs so far in his career. Anderson (59-57 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.77 while going up against 4,484 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.37 (516 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.296. He has given up 1,016 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 363 free passes.

The Twins hold a team SLG% of .405 and they score 4.77 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have put up 61 two-baggers, while getting a free base 99 times as well as earning 143 runs. Minnesota has compiled 32 home runs on the campaign as well as 132 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 279 occasions (12th in the league) and have tallied 242 base knocks. The Minnesota Twins have a team on-base percentage of .319 and a team batting average of .238 on the year.

The Minnesota pitching staff have yielded 128 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.96 (117 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 38 dingers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Twins have a WHIP of 1.221 with a FIP of 3.82 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 9.80 (291 strikeouts vs 78 walks). They have a ranking of 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 247.

Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.8% out of their 37 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 37 times in high leverage situations in addition to 25 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 35 save situations, the Twins have earned 22 holds and also 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 12th in the league holding a save rate of 69.2%, and they have sent 96 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Minnesota has had relief pitchers take the mound in 13 save opportunities and they have tallied 9 saves.

In their 2,397 innings on the diamond, the Twins have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.2% (20th in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 14 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (5th in professional baseball). The Twins have accrued 216 assists, 11 errors and have notched a total of 799 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Lopez has allowed 665 base hits while accumulating 760 K's in 735 frames. Lopez (41-41 career win-loss mark) has a 3.90 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 319 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.172 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.86 and he has faced 3,037 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-112)

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