Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/3/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, May 3, 2024

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: NESN

The Boston Red Sox (18-13) are traveling to Target Field on Friday where they will try to beat the Minnesota Twins (16-13). The expected starting pitchers will be Tanner Houck and Chris Paddack.

Boston has a slugging % of .417 and have struck out 303 times, while being walked on 105 occasions. They have earned 143 runs batted in in addition to 267 hits this year, and their batting average is at .251. The Red Sox have earned 52 doubles as a unit and have hit 36 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 149 runs while having a team OBP of .326. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 4.8 runs/g, which puts them at 9th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.53 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.10. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 23 home runs in addition to 108 runs in total (3rd in the league). Boston has allowed 230 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 80 earned runs. The Red Sox have an ERA of 2.57 over the course of the season (1st in MLB), and they have rung up 272 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 77 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.25 as a squad so far this year.

The Red Sox relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 53.3% and stepped onto the hill in 32 save situations. The relievers have inherited 27 runners on the year and 33.3% of them crossed home plate. Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 22 times in addition to having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 96 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have 16 holds for the year (20th in the league). They have recorded 8 saves this season and have blown 7 of 15 chances to get a save.

The Boston Red Sox have earned 841 putouts so far this season, in addition to 276 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .978 which puts them in 30th in professional baseball, and they have turned 22 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,523 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 12th in pro baseball.

Houck has thrown 291 innings and has earned 304 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.55 (115 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.184. He has surrendered 247 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 98 free passes. Houck (18-21 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.36 while he has faced 1,213 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Minnesota Twins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .319 as well as a team batting average of .238 for the season. They have struck out on 279 occasions (11th in MLB) and have recorded 242 hits. Minnesota has accumulated 32 home runs over the course of the season and 132 RBIs. The Twins hold a team slugging percentage of .405 and they earn 4.77 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have put up 61 doubles, while getting a free base 99 times and putting up 143 runs.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.221 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a team for the year. They come in at 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 247. The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 128 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.96 (117 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.80 (291 strikeouts vs 78 walks). They have yielded 38 dingers and they allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Sitting with 35 save situations, the Twins have 22 holds and also 4 blown saves. Minnesota has had relievers enter the contest in 13 save chances and they have walked away with 9 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 37 times in high leverage situations and on 25 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.8% out of their 37 inherited base runners. They rank 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have sent 96 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 14 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (5th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 216 assists, 11 errors and have accumulated 799 putouts this season. Out of their 2,397 innings on the field, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (21st in pro baseball).

Paddack (24-22 career mark) has a 4.33 ERA and has surrendered 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.85 and he has gone up against 1,508 hitters in his career. He has surrendered 174 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.176 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Paddack has surrendered 351 hits while he has earned 359 strikeouts in 361 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota

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