Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

loanDepot park is the site where the Miami Marlins (30-55) will play the Boston Red Sox (45-39) on Thursday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Nick Pivetta and Kyle Tyler.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .421 and have struck out 793 times, while drawing a walk on 263 occasions. They have recorded 372 RBI's and 730 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .254. The Red Sox have accumulated 152 doubles as a team and have knocked 96 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 389 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 11th in baseball.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.40 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 85 home runs and 354 runs in total (11th in MLB). Boston has conceded 678 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 302 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 3.62 on the year (7th in the league), and their staff has rung up 728 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 214 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.70 as a unit for the year.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 65 times in addition to having 83 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 39 holds so far this season (20th in MLB). The Red Sox relievers have earned a save rate of 65.6% and has come into the game in 73 save situations. They have compiled 21 saves so far this year and have blown 11 of their 32 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 90 runners so far this season and 30.0% of those players earned a run for their team. The Red Sox have dispatched 255 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Boston Red Sox have 2,254 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 728 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .979 which has them ranked 30th in baseball, and have a total of 59 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,762 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 21st in pro baseball.

Pivetta (54-64 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.77 while he has gone up against 4,046 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 909 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 357 walks. His earned run average is 4.84 (508 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.341. Pivetta has taken the mound for 944 innings and has accounted for 1,035 K's during his career.

The Miami Marlins have compiled a team on-base percentage of .279 in addition to a team batting average of .231 this year. They have struck out on 686 occasions (19th in MLB) and have a total of 661 base hits. Miami has hit 68 home runs so far this year and 287 RBIs. The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .350 and they are recording 3.48 runs per contest (29th in baseball). They have hit 117 doubles, while taking a walk 170 times and putting up 296 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.359 with a FIP of 4.18 as a pitching staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (686 strikeouts vs 284 walks). They come in at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 741. They have allowed 88 dingers and they relinquish 5.10 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 427 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.56 (382 earned runs relinquished).

Miami has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 31 save opportunities and they have tallied 14 saves. They rank 29th in baseball with a save rate of 45.2%, and they have sent 293 relievers onto the field this season. Their relievers have taken the field 99 times in high leverage situations and also on 89 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.4% of 122 inherited runners. With 70 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 39 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 64 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 793 assists, 57 errors and have amassed 2,263 putouts on the season. Out of their 6,789 innings played, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (28th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, Tyler has conceded 8 base hits while earning 7 K's in 10 innings. Tyler (0-1 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.53 ERA and has surrendered 7.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 4 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.275 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.40 and he has faced 43 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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