Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/3/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, July 3, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-166) Miami (+146)

loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (30-54) will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (44-39) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -166 while the Marlins are opening at +146. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Brayan Bello and Trevor Rogers.

Boston is slugging .420 and have been called out on strikes 782 times, while drawing a walk on 261 occasions. They have earned 364 runs batted in and 717 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate is at .253. The Red Sox have recorded 150 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 94 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 381 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .322. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in baseball.

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The Red Sox have an earned run average of 381.00 so far this year (18th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,191 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have given up 0 home runs and also 0 runs in total (24th in the league). They have walked 1 opposing hitters and their FIP is 585.00 as a team so far this season. Boston has yielded 782 base hits (27.0 per 9 innings) as well as 0 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1607.29 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 3.00.

The Red Sox have sent 253 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 90 base runners this year with 30.0% of them crossed home plate. They have 21 saves so far this year and have missed out on 11 of 32 save opportunities. The Red Sox relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 65.6% and stepped onto the hill in 73 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 39 holds on the year (20th in MLB). Red Sox pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 65 times as well as having 83 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with 2,227 putouts this season, in addition to 721 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .978 which puts them in 30th in the majors, and they have turned 59 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,681 innings on the diamond, ranking them 21st in pro baseball.

Bello has taken the ball for 286 innings and has earned 251 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.66 (148 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.459. He has conceded 316 hits (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 101 walks. Bello (21-24 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.59 and he has gone up against 1,254 hitters in the majors.

Miami has accumulated 66 HRs for the season and 284 runs batted in. They have recorded 117 doubles, while getting a free base 170 times as well as scoring 293 runs. The Miami Marlins have a team on-base percentage of .280 in addition to a team batting average of .231 on the year. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .350 and they average 3.49 runs per outing (29th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 677 occasions (20th in MLB) and have earned 654 hits.

The Miami pitching staff have yielded 0 runs this year while holding an ERA of 0.01 (0 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 0 HR's and they concede 0.01 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league). The Marlins have a WHIP of 3.986 with a FIP of 504.00 as a unit this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (991 strikeouts vs 1 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 677.

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.4% out of their 122 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 99 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on. With 70 save situations, the Marlins have 39 holds and also 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 45.2%, and they have sent 291 relievers to the mound for the year. Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 31 save opportunities and they have tallied 14 saves.

Out of their 6,708 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (28th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 64 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in the majors). The Marlins have racked up 787 assists, 57 errors and have earned 2,236 putouts this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Rogers has surrendered 362 hits while he has totaled 385 punch outs in 367 innings. He has given up a total of 175 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.384 and having a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and he has gone up against 1,604 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Rogers (14-31 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.29 earned run average while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-166)

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