Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals

Date: Tuesday, May 7, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

The Washington Nationals (17-17) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (23-11) at Nationals Park on Tuesday. The expected starting pitchers are Corbin Burnes and Trevor Williams.

Baltimore is slugging .451 and have struck out 287 times, while drawing a walk on 89 occasions. They have recorded 174 runs batted in in addition to 294 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is at .251. The Orioles have compiled 58 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 54 balls out of the park. They have 180 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 5.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 2nd in the league.

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The Orioles have an ERA of 3.31 this season (5th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 303 hitters. Orioles pitchers have given up 36 long balls and 125 total runs (5th in baseball). They have walked 85 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.64 as a squad on the year. Baltimore has conceded 251 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and also 113 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.56 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.09.

The Orioles have sent 117 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 48 base runners this year and 25.0% of those players ended up scoring. They have compiled 11 saves for the season and have missed out on 7 of 18 chances to save the game. The Orioles relievers have accumulated a save rate of 61.1% and has come into the game in 44 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 26 holds for the season (2nd in the league). Orioles relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 40 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 921 putouts this season, in addition to 319 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which ranks 4th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 22 double plays. The Orioles have turned 72.3% of balls in play into outs in their 2,763 innings, which has them sitting at 4th in professional baseball.

Burnes has pitched in 750 innings and has 911 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.23 (269 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.047. He has conceded 571 base hits (6.8 hits per nine innings) with 215 free passes. Burnes (48-28 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.15 and he has gone up against 3,024 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Washington Nationals have accounted for an OBP of .312 as well as a batting average of .233 this year. They have been rung up on 275 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have accounted for 262 base hits. Washington has compiled 31 HRs over the course of the season as well as 130 runs batted in. The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .370 and they average 4.18 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have notched 53 two-baggers, while walking 113 times as well as notching 142 runs.

The Washington pitching staff have yielded 152 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.10 (137 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 22 long balls and they surrender 4.54 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Nationals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.422 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.48 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (269 strikeouts vs 112 bases on balls). They are sitting at 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 316.

Washington relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.6% out of their 45 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 37 times in high leverage situations and also on 32 occasions with base runners. With 42 save situations, the Nationals have earned 25 holds and 6 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in the league holding a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 124 relievers to the hill so far this year. Washington has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 17 save chances and they have walked away with 11 saves.

Out of their 2,709 innings on the field, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 65.8% (30th in MLB). The Washington Nationals have turned 35 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (9th in pro baseball). The Nationals have accrued 325 assists, 17 errors and have earned 903 putouts for the year.

So far in his MLB career, Williams has given up 933 hits and he has 723 punch outs in 891 innings. He has given up a total of 436 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.379 and a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.44 and he has gone up against 3,852 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Williams (47-54 career mark) holds a 4.40 earned run average and has surrendered 9.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington

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