Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 7/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

The Seattle Mariners (47-40) will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (54-31) at T-Mobile Park on Thursday. The starting pitchers will be Corbin Burnes and Bryce Miller.

The Orioles have hit 150 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 139 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .460 and have been called out on strikes 685 times, while taking a walk on 233 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 1st in MLB. They have compiled 429 runs batted in as well as 749 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .255. They have earned 440 runs scored while having a team OBP of .316.

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The Orioles have a team earned run average of 3.40 for the season (3rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 719 hitters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 79 home runs and 326 runs in total (5th in MLB). They have walked 248 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.70 as a squad on the year. Baltimore has allowed 643 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 289 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.90 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.16.

The Orioles have dispatched 288 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 135 base runners on the year with 25.9% of those players earned a run for their team. They have compiled 28 saves on the year and have blown 14 out of their 42 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 113 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 71 holds this season (3rd in the league). Orioles bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 98 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have transformed 71.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,888 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 3rd in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 2,296 putouts so far this season, as well as 726 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 5th in MLB, and have a total of 47 double plays.

Burnes has taken the hill for 815 frames and has earned 969 K's so far in his career. Burnes (54-30 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.09 while facing 3,288 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.14 (284 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.053. He has allowed 628 base hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has 230 walks.

Seattle is sitting with 93 home runs so far this season as well as 318 RBIs. They have put up 113 doubles, while taking a walk 286 times as well as putting up 332 runs. The Seattle Mariners have accumulated an OBP of .297 as well as a team batting average of .217 this year. The Mariners have a SLG% of .362 and they tally 3.82 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 888 instances (1st in the league) and are sitting with 613 base hits.

The Mariners hold a team WHIP of 1.077 and have a FIP of 3.71 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (723 strikeouts against 202 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 625. They have conceded 91 long balls and they give up 3.84 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Seattle pitching staff have given up 328 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.56 (304 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 82 save situations, the Mariners have 48 holds and 9 blown saves. Seattle has had relievers take the mound in 33 save opportunities and they have walked away with 24 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 99 times in high leverage situations and on 80 occasions with runners on base. Seattle relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.1% out of their 119 inherited runners. They are ranked 5th in baseball holding a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have sent 273 relievers onto the field on the campaign.

The Seattle Mariners have turned 57 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in baseball). The Mariners have accrued 696 assists, 47 errors and have notched a total of 2,304 putouts on the season. Out of their 6,912 innings on the diamond, the Mariners have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.6% (2nd in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Miller has given up 198 hits and he has 210 strikeouts in 229 frames. Miller (14-14 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.13 earned run average while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 105 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.101 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.89 and he has gone up against 923 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore

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