Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 4/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-126) Kansas City (+108)

The Kansas City Royals (12-7) host the Baltimore Orioles (12-6) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Orioles at -126 while the Royals are opening at +108. The total is 7.5. The starting pitchers are Cole Irvin and Seth Lugo.

Baltimore has a slugging % of .459 and have struck out 148 times, while drawing a walk on 44 occasions. They have amassed 102 runs batted in as well as 162 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is at .258. The Orioles have tallied 30 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 30 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 104 runs while holding a team OBP of .310. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 5.8 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league.

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The Orioles have a team earned run average of 3.68 this year (8th in the league), and their staff has struck out 167 hitters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 20 home runs and also 77 runs in total (7th in MLB). They have walked 40 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.55 as a team for the season. Baltimore has surrendered 149 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 67 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 4.18 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15.

The Orioles relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 44.4% and has come into the game in 15 save situations. The relievers have inherited 21 runners so far this season with 28.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 19 times in addition to having 17 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 62 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 6 holds over the course of the season (28th in the league). They have accumulated 4 saves on the year and have blown 5 of their 9 save opportunities.

The Orioles have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of 1,476 innings, which has them sitting 16th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 492 putouts this season, in addition to 165 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 16th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 10 double plays.

Irvin has taken the mound for 496 innings and has earned 367 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.48 (247 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.291. He has surrendered 523 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has 118 free passes. Irvin (22-35 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.36 and he has gone up against 2,114 opposing batters in the majors.

Kansas City has tallied 23 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 86 RBIs. They have notched 29 two-baggers, while getting a free base 61 times as well as scoring 92 runs. The Kansas City Royals have tallied an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .240 on the campaign. The Royals hold a team slugging % of .408 and they score 4.84 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 145 occasions (25th in baseball) and have totaled 151 hits.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.202 in addition to having a FIP of 3.55 as a pitching staff this year. They come in at 10th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 145. The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 52 runs this year while holding an ERA of 2.79 (52 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 7.60 (141 strikeouts vs 57 bases on balls). They have given up 11 homers and they surrender 2.79 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Kansas City has had relievers step onto the mound in 8 save opportunities and they have recorded 6 saves. They sit at 6th in MLB with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 58 relief pitchers onto the diamond this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 9 occasions with runners on base. Kansas City relievers hold an inherited score rate of 17.6% of 17 inherited base runners. Sitting with 18 save situations, the Royals have 10 holds and also 2 blown saves.

Out of their 1,512 innings played, the Royals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (7th in the majors). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 17 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Royals have 174 assists, 9 errors and have amassed 504 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Lugo has given up 600 hits while he has totaled 661 strikeouts in 666 innings pitched. Lugo (43-31 career mark) is the owner of a 3.40 earned run average and has conceded 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 252 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.169 and having a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.69 and he has gone up against 2,752 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (-126)

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