Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/5/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-104) Cincinnati (-112)

The Cincinnati Reds (16-16) will compete against the Baltimore Orioles (21-11) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Baltimore at -104 and Cincinnati is sitting at -112. The betting total is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Dean Kremer and Nick Lodolo.

Baltimore has a slugging rate of .444 and have been called out on strikes 264 times, while being walked on 83 occasions. They have accrued 161 RBI's as well as 276 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .250. The Orioles have tallied 53 doubles as a unit and have smacked 49 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 167 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .310. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league.

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The Orioles hold a team ERA of 3.46 so far this year (8th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 285 batters. Orioles pitchers have given up 36 long balls and 123 runs (7th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 80 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a team this season. Baltimore has relinquished 242 base knocks (7.5 per 9 innings) as well as 111 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.56 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.11.

The Orioles relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 58.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 41 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 46 base runners for the year and 26.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 39 times in addition to having 36 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 112 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have accumulated 24 holds for the year (4th in baseball). They have accumulated 10 saves so far this season and have missed out on 7 of their 17 save opportunities.

The Orioles have converted 71.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,601 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 6th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 867 putouts this season, as well as 306 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which is 6th in baseball, and they have turned 21 double plays.

Kremer has taken the mound for 404 innings and has accounted for 344 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 4.34 (195 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.322. He has given up 399 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 136 walks. Kremer (24-22 career record) has a FIP of 4.60 while he has faced 1,715 hitters during his time in the majors.

Cincinnati has recorded 32 long balls on the campaign to go along with 139 RBIs. They have notched 51 two-baggers, while getting a free base 108 times as well as earning 150 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have tallied an on-base percentage of .293 and a batting average of .214 this year. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .367 and they are earning 4.69 runs per game (11th in the league). They have struck out on 314 occasions (5th in baseball) and are sitting with 221 hits.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.260 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (277 strikeouts vs 103 free passes). They rank 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 251. They have given up 32 HR's and they concede 4.32 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 135 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.84 (120 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 25 save situations, the Reds have earned 17 holds and also 2 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 8 save chances and they have come away with 6 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 28 times in high leverage situations and also on 27 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 14.6% out of their 48 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 97 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 16 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (22nd in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 216 assists, 19 errors and have earned 843 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 2,529 innings on the field, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (15th in pro baseball).

In his career, Lodolo has surrendered 155 hits and he has 209 K's in 161 innings. Lodolo (9-8 career mark) holds a 3.95 ERA and has given up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up 71 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.299 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.80 and he has faced 701 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (-104)

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