Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-108) Cincinnati (-108)

The Cincinnati Reds (16-15) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (20-11) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Orioles at -108 and the Reds are coming in at -108. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be John Means and Andrew Abbott.

The Orioles have hit 51 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 48 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .446 and have struck out 256 times, while drawing a walk on 78 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 5.3 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have accumulated 158 runs batted in and 267 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average comes in at .250. They have notched a total of 164 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .309.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.46 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.14. Orioles pitchers have allowed 36 long balls and 123 total runs (9th in the league). Baltimore has conceded 240 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 111 earned runs. The Orioles have a team ERA of 3.57 so far this year (11th in the league), and the staff has struck out 277 hitters. They have walked 80 hitters and their FIP is 3.79 as a squad so far this year.

The Orioles have dispatched 109 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 45 runners on the season with 26.7% of those runners ended up scoring. They have recorded 9 saves this season and have blown 7 of 16 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 56.3% and has come into the game in 38 save situations. The relievers have racked up 22 holds on the campaign (6th in MLB). Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 38 times and also have had 35 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned 840 putouts so far this season, as well as 292 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 6th in MLB, and have a total of 21 double plays. The Orioles have turned 71.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,520 innings on the field, ranking them 6th in baseball.

Means (21-26 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.63 and he has faced 1,541 hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 326 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 77 walks. His ERA is 3.74 (158 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.060. Means has thrown 380 innings and has earned 318 K's in his career.

Cincinnati has a total of 32 home runs this season as well as 139 RBIs. They have recorded 50 two-baggers, while getting a free base 108 times and putting up 150 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .299 as well as a batting average of .218 on the campaign. The Reds have a team slugging % of .375 and they earn 4.84 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have struck out on 306 occasions (5th in baseball) and have 219 hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 132 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.87 (117 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 31 dingers and they allow 4.37 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.250 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (269 strikeouts vs 98 walks). They sit at 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 242.

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 15.6% of 45 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 26 times in high leverage situations and on 25 occasions with runners on. With 25 save situations, the Reds have compiled 17 holds and also 2 blown saves. They sit at 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 93 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 8 save chances and they have earned 6 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 16 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in pro baseball). The Reds have recorded 213 assists, 19 errors and have accumulated 816 putouts for the season. In 2,448 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (16th in MLB).

During his MLB career, Abbott has given up 126 hits while tallying 147 punch outs in 142 innings pitched. Abbott (9-9 record in his career) holds a 3.73 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 59 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.272 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.67 and he has gone up against 593 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-108)

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