Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/3/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, May 3, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds (16-15) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (19-11) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The pitchers expected to start will be Cole Irvin and Hunter Greene.

Baltimore has a slugging rate of .440 and have struck out 247 times, while being walked on 78 occasions. They have tallied 151 RBI's and 259 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average sits at .250. The Orioles have hit 50 doubles as a team and have hit 45 balls out of the stadium. They have 157 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .308. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 5.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league.

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The Orioles have an ERA of 3.62 this year (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 266 hitters. Orioles pitchers have given up 35 home runs in addition to 121 total runs (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 77 batters and their FIP is 3.80 as a team so far this year. Baltimore has surrendered 234 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 109 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.45 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.15.

The Orioles have sent 105 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 42 base runners on the year with 28.6% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 9 saves for the season and have blown 7 of 16 chances to get a save. The Orioles relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 56.3% and stepped onto the hill in 38 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 22 holds over the course of the season (6th in the league). Orioles bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 36 times as well as having 34 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,439 innings, which ranks them 6th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 813 putouts thus far, as well as 284 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which puts them in 6th in baseball, and have 19 double plays.

Irvin (24-35 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.32 while he has gone up against 2,164 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 531 base knocks (9.4 hits per 9 innings) with 120 free passes. His ERA is 4.36 (247 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.276. Irvin has taken the ball for 510 innings and has earned 374 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

Cincinnati has accounted for 32 long balls this season to go along with 139 RBIs. They have 50 doubles, while taking a walk 108 times as well as putting up 150 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .299 and a batting average of .218 so far this season. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .375 and they tally 4.84 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have been rung up on 306 instances (3rd in the league) and have 219 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 132 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.87 (117 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 31 home runs and they surrender 4.37 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.250 with a FIP of 3.92 as a staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.90 (269 strikeouts vs 98 walks). They are currently ranked 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 242.

Sitting with 25 save situations, the Reds have earned 17 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 8 save opportunities and they have walked away with 6 saves. Their relievers have come in 26 times in high leverage situations and also on 25 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 15.6% out of 45 inherited runners. They are ranked 5th in baseball with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 93 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 16 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 213 assists, 19 errors and are sitting with 816 putouts this year. In their 2,448 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (16th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Greene has given up 241 base hits and he has 358 punch outs in 272 innings. Greene (10-22 career mark) has a 4.49 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 136 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.282 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.31 and he has faced 1,173 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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