Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, September 11, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Boston (-132)

The Baltimore Orioles (82-63) are traveling to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (73-71). The line on this contest has the Orioles at +110 while the Red Sox are coming in at -132. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Dean Kremer and Nick Pivetta.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They are sitting with 713 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .316. The Orioles have tallied 238 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 212 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 686 RBI's in addition to 1,241 hits so far this year, and their batting average is sitting at .250. Baltimore is slugging .438 and have struck out 1,200 times, while drawing a walk on 442 occasions.

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The Orioles have an earned run average of 3.96 on the year (13th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,228 hitters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 154 home runs and 629 runs (16th in the league). They have walked 427 batters and their FIP is 3.93 as a squad this year. Baltimore has conceded 1,177 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 568 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Orioles relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 153 times and also have had 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 101 holds for the season (2nd in the league). The Orioles relief pitchers have a save rate of 69.4% and has entered the game in 164 save situations. They have tallied 43 saves so far this season and have not converted 19 of 62 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 222 base runners this year with 31.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Orioles have dispatched 482 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Baltimore Orioles have 3,872 putouts for the season, as well as 1,211 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which ranks 15th in professional baseball, and they have turned 86 double plays. The Orioles have turned 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,616 innings, ranking them 16th in professional baseball.

Kremer has pitched in 481 innings and has earned 419 K's in his MLB career. Kremer (29-29 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.28 while he has faced 2,056 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.34 (232 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.332. He has allowed 467 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 173 free passes.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .434 and they are recording 4.78 runs per game (7th in the league). They have 280 doubles, while walking 436 times and putting up 688 runs. Boston has tallied 181 home runs on the campaign to go along with 664 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,392 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have recorded 1,278 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .322 as well as a batting average of .257 this season.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 685 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.16 (597 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 175 long balls and they allow 4.78 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.257 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.16 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (1,211 strikeouts against 402 walks). They are sitting at 24th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,220.

With 145 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 76 holds and also 28 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 65 save opportunities and they have walked away with 37 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 166 times in high leverage situations in addition to 140 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.9% of 195 inherited runners. They sit at 27th in baseball holding a save percentage of 56.9%, and they have sent 461 relievers to the mound so far this season.

In their 11,616 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (22nd in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 104 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have 1,281 assists, 105 errors and are sitting with 3,872 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Pivetta has allowed 961 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,114 K's in 1,006 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 537 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.325 and a FIP of 4.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.99 and he has faced 4,297 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Pivetta (55-69 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.80 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-132)

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