Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/9/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, April 9, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (5-4) are traveling to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (7-3). The pitchers who are expected to start are Corbin Burnes and Brayan Bello.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 5.2 runs per outing, which is 8th in MLB. They have a total of 47 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .274. The Orioles have compiled 19 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 9 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 47 runs batted in and 67 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .222. Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .387 and have been rung up 64 times, while being walked on 22 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 4.83 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.02. Orioles pitchers have conceded 9 home runs and 32 runs (9th in the league). Baltimore has surrendered 66 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and also 26 earned runs. The Orioles have an ERA of 2.85 on the season (6th in the league), and their staff has rung up 87 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 18 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.22 as a team on the season.

Orioles relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 8 times in addition to having 8 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 3 holds this year (26th in MLB). The Orioles relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 25.0% and has come into the game in 7 save situations. They have recorded 1 save this season and have missed out on 3 out of their 4 save chances. The relievers have inherited 9 base runners on the season and 11.1% of them crossed the plate. The Orioles have sent 31 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Orioles have turned 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 738 innings on the field, ranking them 10th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 246 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 83 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .979 which is 18th in MLB, and have a total of 3 double plays.

Burnes has taken the hill for 721 innings and has earned 884 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.25 (260 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.051. He has conceded 552 base knocks (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 206 free passes. Burnes (46-27 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.09 while he has faced 2,910 hitters during his time in the majors.

Boston has tallied 13 home runs so far this season to go along with 47 runs batted in. They have notched 11 two-baggers, while taking a walk 35 times and recording 50 runs. The Boston Red Sox hold an on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .248 for the season. The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .402 and they have an average of 5.00 runs per outing (11th in the league). They have struck out on 103 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have recorded 87 hits.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 0.966 and have a FIP of 2.86 as a team this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 10.50 (105 strikeouts against 25 walks). They rank 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 62. They have given up 7 homers and they allow 2.40 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 24 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 1.50 (15 earned runs surrendered).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of their 14 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 22 times in high leverage situations and also on 10 occasions with runners on. With 16 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 7 holds and 3 blown saves. They sit at 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 32 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 9 save opportunities and they have recorded 6 saves.

In 813 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.7% (6th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 4 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .977 (21st in the majors). The Red Sox have 76 assists, 8 errors and have amassed 271 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Bello has given up 250 hits while he has tallied 195 K's in 224 innings. He has allowed a total of 110 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.440 and having a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.67 and he has faced 978 opposing hitters in his career. Bello (15-19 record in his career) holds a 4.41 ERA and has conceded 10.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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