Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The Boston Red Sox (7-4) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (6-4) at Fenway Park on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers are Grayson Rodriguez and Garrett Whitlock.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 5.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 10th in the league. They have notched a total of 54 runs and hold an OBP of .285. The Orioles have hit 22 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 9 balls out of the stadium. They have 54 runs batted in in addition to 80 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is .234. Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .389 and have struck out 72 times, while taking a walk on 25 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 4.83 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.02. Orioles pitchers have given up 9 home runs and 32 total runs (5th in the league). Baltimore has given up 66 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 26 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 2.85 this year (5th in the league), and the staff has struck out 87 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 18 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.27 as a team this season.

The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 25.0% and has come into the game in 7 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 9 base runners this year and 11.1% of those runners ended up scoring. Orioles pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 8 times and also have had 8 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 33 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have tallied 3 holds on the campaign (27th in the league). They have compiled 1 save so far this season and have blown 3 of their 4 save opportunities.

The Orioles have converted 73.0% of balls in play into outs out of 819 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 273 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 89 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which has them ranked 19th in baseball, and have earned 3 double plays.

Rodriguez (9-4 career record) holds a FIP of 3.98 and he has gone up against 564 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 131 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 45 walks. His ERA is 4.15 (62 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.310. Rodriguez has pitched in 134 frames and has tallied 145 K's so far in his MLB career.

Boston is sitting with 14 HRs so far this season as well as 48 runs batted in. They have notched 11 doubles, while taking a walk 37 times as well as racking up 51 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .311 in addition to a batting average of .234 this year. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .384 and they average 4.64 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have struck out on 113 occasions (5th in the league) and have totaled 89 hits.

The Boston pitching staff have yielded 24 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 1.50 (15 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 7 dingers and they allow 2.40 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 0.966 with a FIP of 2.92 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 10.50 (105 strikeouts vs 25 walks). They have a ranking of 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 62.

Boston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 9 save chances and they have earned 6 saves. They are ranked 9th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 34 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 22 times in high leverage situations and on 11 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.7% of 15 inherited runners. Sitting with 16 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 7 holds in addition to 3 blown saves.

Out of their 894 innings on the field, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 4 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .975 (28th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 86 assists, 10 errors and have 298 putouts on the season.

During his career, Whitlock has given up 218 base hits while he has earned 247 K's in 232 innings. Whitlock (18-11 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.40 ERA while surrendering 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 88 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.148 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.04 and he has faced 952 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore

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