Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 10/2/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN2

The San Diego Padres (93-69) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (89-73) at Petco Park on Wednesday. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Joe Musgrove.

Atlanta is slugging .415 and have struck out 1,461 times, while drawing a walk on 485 occasions. They have 674 RBI's as well as 1,333 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .243. The Braves have accounted for 273 doubles as a squad and have hit 213 balls out of the park. They have 704 runs while holding a team OBP of .309. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 15th in MLB.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.49 on the year (1st in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,553 batters. Braves pitchers have given up 150 home runs in addition to 607 runs in total (1st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 449 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.44 as a unit so far this season. Atlanta has surrendered 1,277 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 559 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.46 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20.

Braves pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 114 times and also have had 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 67 holds so far this season (27th in the league). The Braves relievers have recorded a save percentage of 64.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 130 save situations. They have recorded 40 saves so far this season and have blown 22 of their 62 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 runners for the season with 29.6% of them crossed home plate. The Braves have sent 481 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 4,330 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,436 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them ranked 2nd in baseball, and have a total of 131 double plays. The Braves have turned 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,990 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 23rd in pro baseball.

Fried has pitched in 883 innings and is sitting with 863 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Fried (73-36 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.03 and he has gone up against 3,614 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.08 (302 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.165. He has given up 783 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 246 free passes.

The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .324 and a team batting average of .263 this season. They have struck out on 1,077 occasions (30th in MLB) and have tallied 1,456 base hits. San Diego has accumulated 190 home runs this year as well as 726 RBIs. The Padres have a team slugging % of .420 and they average 4.69 runs per game (8th in the league). They have 259 two-baggers, while walking 458 times and putting up 760 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 669 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 169 home runs and they concede 4.18 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.222 in addition to having a FIP of 3.77 as a team so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,453 strikeouts vs 462 walks). They sit at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,296.

San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 246 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 151 times in high leverage situations and on 163 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 154 save situations, the Padres have tallied 85 holds and 23 blown saves. They are ranked 12th in baseball holding a save rate of 65.7%, and they have dispatched 539 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. San Diego has had relievers enter the game in 67 save opportunities and they have converted 44 saves.

In 12,954 innings on the diamond, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in pro baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 117 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (6th in the majors). The Padres have racked up 1,297 assists, 75 errors and are sitting with 4,318 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Musgrove has given up 970 base knocks while he has earned 1,050 punch outs in 1,055 innings pitched. Musgrove (66-62 career record) has earned a 3.74 earned run average and has conceded 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 438 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.167 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.01 and he has gone up against 4,385 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take San Diego

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