Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 5/25/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, May 25, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-162) Pittsburgh (+136)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (23-28) will compete against the Atlanta Braves (29-18) at PNC Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Braves at -162 while the Pirates open at +136. The betting total comes in at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Reynaldo Lopez and Mitch Keller.

Atlanta has a slugging % of .410 and have been called out on strikes 418 times, while being walked on 149 occasions. They have accumulated 209 runs batted in and 402 hits for the year, while their team batting average comes in at .250. The Braves have compiled 91 doubles as a squad and have hit 52 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 218 runs scored and have an OBP of .320. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.6 runs per contest, which puts them at 9th in baseball.

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The Braves have an ERA of 3.26 on the year (4th in the league), and their staff has struck out 401 batters. Braves pitchers have allowed 43 home runs and also 169 runs in total (2nd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 139 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.66 as a unit this season. Atlanta has conceded 367 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 153 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.88 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.20.

The Braves have sent 146 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relievers have inherited 41 runners on the campaign with 31.7% of those players earned a run for their team. They have earned 14 saves on the season and have missed out on 9 of 23 save opportunities. The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 60.9% and stepped onto the hill in 50 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 27 holds for the season (15th in MLB). Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 35 times in addition to having 53 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,798 innings, which has them ranked 6th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 1,266 putouts so far this season, as well as 456 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them sitting 1st in baseball, and have a total of 40 double plays.

Lopez (41-50 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.35 while facing 3,073 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 668 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 266 walks. His ERA is 4.14 (334 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.286. Lopez has taken the ball for 726 innings and has totaled 661 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have an on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .227 so far this year. They have been rung up on 484 instances (4th in baseball) and have tallied 393 base hits. Pittsburgh has recorded 49 home runs on the year and 189 RBIs. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .356 and they are earning 3.88 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have 70 doubles, while taking a walk 183 times and notching 198 runs.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.276 with a FIP of 4.15 as a team so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (433 strikeouts vs 166 free passes). They come in at 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 415. They have allowed 59 dingers and they surrender 4.53 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 229 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.01 (203 earned runs allowed).

With 54 save situations, the Pirates have earned 27 holds and 12 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers take the mound in 26 save chances and they have converted 14 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 69 times in high leverage situations and on 50 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.6% out of 81 inherited base runners. They rank 26th in the league with a save rate of 53.8%, and they have dispatched 160 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 41 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in MLB). The Pirates have racked up 436 assists, 31 errors and have 1,367 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 4,101 innings played, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (18th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Keller has surrendered 620 hits while earning 575 punch outs in 584 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 300 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.432 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.65 and he has gone up against 2,556 batters during his career. Keller (30-41 record in his career) holds a 4.62 earned run average and has conceded 9.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-162)

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