Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 3/30/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72 last season) will take on the Atlanta Braves (104-58 last year) on Saturday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Max Fried and Aaron Nola.

Atlanta owned a slugging percentage of .501 and struck out 1,289 times, while drawing a walk on 538 occasions. They compiled 916 RBI's as well as 1,543 hits in the previous season, while their team batting average finished at .276. The Braves tallied 293 doubles as a unit and hit 307 balls out of the park. They earned 947 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .344. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves recorded 5.9 runs per game, which ranked them 1st in MLB.

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The Braves compiled a team ERA of 4.14 in the previous season (15th in the league), and the staff rung up 1,516 hitters. Braves pitchers gave up 187 long balls and also 716 runs in total (13th in the league). They walked 534 opposing players and their FIP finished at 4.10 as a team over the course of last season. Atlanta allowed 1,341 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 662 earned runs. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Braves relief pitchers came into the game with runners on base 129 times as well as having 171 games in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers earned 102 holds over the course of last year (5th in the league). The Braves relief pitchers accumulated a save rate of 66.7% and entered the game in 181 save situations. They earned 52 saves last year and did not convert 26 out of their 78 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers inherited 188 base runners in the prior season and 31.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Braves dispatched 532 relievers to the mound over the course of the prior season.

The Braves converted 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,960 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting 22nd in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves amassed 4,320 putouts for the prior year, in addition to 1,339 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .986 which put them in 16th in baseball, and had a total of 134 double plays.

Fried (62-26 career record) has a FIP of 3.28 and he has faced 2,900 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 637 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 189 walks. His ERA is 3.03 (239 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.163. Fried has taken the hill for 710 frames and has totaled 697 punch outs during his career.

The Philadelphia Phillies recorded a team on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .256 in the previous season. They struck out on 1,481 occasions (8th in baseball) and had 1,417 base hits. Philadelphia accounted for 220 long balls last season and 771 RBIs. The Phillies held a slugging % of .438 and they scored 4.91 runs per contest (8th in the league). They put up 291 doubles, while taking a walk 539 times as well as scoring 796 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff conceded 715 runs over the course of last year while having a team ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs surrendered). They conceded 185 homers and they conceded 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Phillies finished with a team WHIP of 1.239 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.00 as a squad during the previous year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts against 470 bases on balls). They finished at 9th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,317.

Philadelphia relievers held an inherited score rate of 34.1% out of 182 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers took the field 181 times in high leverage situations and also on 131 occasions with base runners. Finishing with 158 save situations, the Phillies accrued 87 holds and 26 blown saves. They were ranked 14th in the league holding a save rate of 63.4%, and they dispatched 523 relief pitchers onto the field last season. Philadelphia called on relievers to step onto the mound in 71 save opportunities and they tallied 45 saves.

In their 12,981 innings on the field, the Phillies held a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (13th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies had 117 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors). The Phillies recorded 1,385 assists, 92 errors and notched a total of 4,327 putouts for the prior year.

Nola (90-71 career mark) is the owner of a 3.72 earned run average while conceding 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.26 and he has gone up against 5,815 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 588 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.129 and a FIP of 3.4. In his MLB career, Nola has allowed 1,234 hits while he has accumulated 1,582 K's in 1,422 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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