Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 3/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-115) Philadelphia (-105)

The Atlanta Braves (104-58 last year) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72 last season). The odds on this game have the Braves at -115 while the Phillies are coming in at -105. The over/under is set at 7.5. The men taking the mound will be Spencer Strider and Zack Wheeler.

Atlanta had a slugging rate of .501 and were rung up 1,289 times, while drawing a walk on 538 occasions. They accounted for 916 runs batted in in addition to 1,543 base knocks in the previous season, and their batting average finished at .276. The Braves accrued 293 two-baggers as a squad and hit 307 baseballs out of the park. They accumulated 947 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .344. As a team, the Atlanta Braves notched 5.9 runs per outing, which had them at 1st in MLB.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Braves had a team ERA of 4.14 last season (15th in MLB), and their staff struck out 1,516 batters. Braves pitchers allowed 187 home runs and 716 runs (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 534 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.10 as a unit last season. Atlanta gave up 1,341 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 662 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.84 and their pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Braves dispatched 532 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the prior season. The bullpen inherited 188 runners over the course of last season and 31.4% of those players crossed the plate. They accumulated 52 saves in the previous season and blew 26 of their 78 save chances. The Braves relief pitchers had a save percentage of 66.7% and came into the game in 181 save situations. The relievers tallied 102 holds over the course of last year (5th in the league). Braves pitchers came into the game with runners on 129 times in addition to having 171 contests in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves accumulated 4,320 putouts during the previous year, as well as 1,339 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding rate was previously at .986 which was 16th in the majors, and they turned 134 double plays. The Braves turned 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,960 innings on the field, which had them sitting 22nd in the majors.

Strider has thrown 320 innings and has accumulated 483 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Strider (32-10 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.48 and he has faced 1,300 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.37 (120 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.054. He has conceded 234 base hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 104 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies accumulated a team on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .256 over the course of last year. They struck out on 1,481 occasions (8th in MLB) and earned a total of 1,417 base hits. Philadelphia had a total of 220 home runs last season and 771 runs batted in. The Phillies had a SLG% of .438 and they were earning 4.91 runs per game (8th in baseball). They hit 291 doubles, while taking a walk 539 times as well as scoring 796 runs.

The Phillies had a WHIP of 1.239 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a unit during the previous year. They were sitting at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,317. The Philadelphia pitching staff given up 715 runs for the previous season while having a team ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs yielded). They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts against 470 free passes). They surrendered 185 homers and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Ending the season with 158 save situations, the Phillies had 87 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. Philadelphia had relief pitchers take the mound in 71 save chances and they recorded 45 saves. Their relief pitchers came in 181 times in high leverage situations and on 131 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relief pitchers held an inherited score rate of 34.1% out of their 182 inherited base runners. They were sitting at 14th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.4%, and they dispatched 523 relievers to the mound last year.

The Philadelphia Phillies turned 117 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in baseball). The Phillies recorded 1,385 assists, 92 errors and had a total of 4,327 putouts for the prior year. In 12,981 innings played, the Phillies held a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (13th in baseball).

So far in his career, Wheeler has allowed 1,229 hits and he has 1,401 punch outs in 1,378 innings. He has given up a total of 528 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and he has faced 5,714 batters during his MLB career. Wheeler (87-63 record in his career) has a 3.45 earned run average while surrendering 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-115)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here