Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, July 28, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (54-48) will take on the Atlanta Braves (54-47) on Sunday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Reynaldo Lopez and David Peterson.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which is 19th in baseball. They have accumulated 424 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .303. The Braves have compiled 183 two-baggers as a team and have hit 115 balls out of the park. They have tallied 403 runs batted in and 818 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .240. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .401 and have been rung up 904 times, while drawing a walk on 283 occasions.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.49 so far this year (3rd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 908 hitters. Braves pitchers have relinquished 92 long balls and 375 runs in total (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 283 opposing players and their FIP is 3.55 as a team this season. Atlanta has given up 787 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 348 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.21 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.19.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 65 times in addition to having 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 39 holds this year (29th in baseball). The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 70.3% and has entered the game in 76 save situations. They have earned 26 saves so far this season and have missed out on 11 of 37 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 84 base runners so far this season with 31.0% of them crossed home plate. The Braves have sent 291 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Braves have transformed 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,079 innings on the field, ranking them 18th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 2,693 putouts thus far, as well as 918 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which is 2nd in the majors, and have accumulated 85 double plays.

Lopez has taken the mound for 781 frames and has earned 717 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.03 (350 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.287. He has allowed 720 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 285 free passes. Lopez (46-53 career record) has a FIP of 3.97 while he has faced 3,305 opposing batters in the majors.

The New York Mets have recorded a team on-base percentage of .322 in addition to a team batting average of .249 on the year. They have struck out on 835 occasions (20th in baseball) and have totaled 876 hits. New York has hit 133 long balls on the season and 477 RBIs. The Mets hold a slugging % of .421 and they average 4.86 runs per game (6th in MLB). They have tallied 184 doubles, while taking a walk 333 times as well as earning 496 runs.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.310 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.28 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (893 strikeouts against 395 walks). They come in at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 804. They have relinquished 112 homers and they concede 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The New York pitching staff have conceded 473 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.15 (422 earned runs conceded).

New York has had relief pitchers enter the game in 44 save opportunities and they have walked away with 28 saves. They are currently ranked 18th in the league with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 336 relievers to the hill so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 127 times in high leverage situations and on 110 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 147 inherited base runners. With 116 save situations, the Mets have amassed 72 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 89 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Mets have 907 assists, 70 errors and have a tally of 2,746 putouts on the campaign. In 8,238 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (13th in baseball).

Peterson (23-21 career record) holds a 4.35 earned run average and has surrendered 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.29 and he has gone up against 1,652 opposing batters during his career. He has allowed a total of 184 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.419 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. In his career, Peterson has given up 366 hits while totaling 399 strikeouts in 381 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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