Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/26/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, July 26, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

The Atlanta Braves (54-46) are en route to Citi Field on Friday where they will take on the New York Mets (53-48). The pitchers taking the mound will be Charlie Morton and Tylor Megill.

Atlanta has a slugging % of .404 and have been rung up 878 times, while taking a walk on 277 occasions. They have earned 397 runs batted in as well as 801 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .240. The Braves have tallied 181 doubles as a squad and have smacked 115 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 418 runs while holding a team OBP of .303. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in baseball.

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The Braves have a team ERA of 3.46 on the season (3rd in the league), and they have rung up 883 batters. Braves pitchers have surrendered 89 long balls and 363 total runs (1st in MLB). They have walked 278 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.54 as a squad for the year. Atlanta has relinquished 772 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 338 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19.

The Braves have sent 285 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 83 base runners on the year and 31.3% of those players crossed home plate. They have compiled 26 saves so far this year and have blown 11 out of their 37 save opportunities. The Braves relievers have earned a save percentage of 70.3% and has come into the game in 76 save situations. The relievers have racked up 39 holds this year (29th in MLB). Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 63 times as well as having 88 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have turned 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,911 innings, which has them sitting 18th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 2,637 putouts for the season, in addition to 904 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which is 2nd in the majors, and they have turned 84 double plays.

Morton (135-118 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.94 while going up against 8,827 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,924 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 761 walks. His ERA is 4.00 (916 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.301. Morton has taken the ball for 2,063 innings and has earned 1,981 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

New York has 127 home runs this year and 463 runs batted in. They have put up 181 two-baggers, while walking 327 times as well as notching 481 runs. The New York Mets have recorded an OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .249 this season. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .418 and they score 4.81 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have been rung up on 815 occasions (20th in the league) and have accounted for 859 base hits.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.315 with a FIP of 4.28 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (872 strikeouts against 387 walks). They are currently ranked 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 791. They have yielded 110 home runs and they give up 4.70 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The New York pitching staff have allowed 468 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.19 (417 earned runs given up).

New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 44 save opportunities and they have recorded 28 saves. They are ranked 18th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have sent 329 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relievers have come in 123 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.5% out of 142 inherited runners. With 116 save situations, the Mets have accrued 72 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In their 8,067 innings played, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 87 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 882 assists, 68 errors and have a total of 2,689 putouts for the season.

In his pro baseball career, Megill has conceded 312 base hits while he has earned 304 K's in 302 innings pitched. Megill (19-20 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.77 ERA while surrendering 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 160 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.420 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and he has faced 1,321 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York

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