Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/25/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, July 25, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Bally Sports South

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (52-48) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (54-45) on Thursday. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Luis Severino.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 18th in baseball. They have tallied 418 runs and have an on-base percentage of .303. The Braves have hit 181 doubles as a squad and have knocked 115 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 397 RBI's in addition to 801 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is .240. Atlanta is slugging .404 and have been rung up 878 times, while drawing a walk on 277 occasions.

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The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.46 on the season (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 883 batters. Braves pitchers have yielded 89 home runs and 363 runs in total (1st in baseball). They have walked 278 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.54 as a squad so far this year. Atlanta has yielded 772 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 338 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.18 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 63 times as well as having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 39 holds so far this year (29th in baseball). The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 70.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 76 save situations. They have 26 saves over the course of the season and have blown 11 of 37 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 83 base runners on the year with 31.3% of those players ended up scoring. The Braves have dispatched 285 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Braves have transformed 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,911 innings, which has them sitting 18th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,637 putouts thus far, in addition to 904 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which ranks 2nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 84 double plays.

Morton has taken the hill for 2,063 innings and is sitting with 1,981 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.00 (916 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.301. He has given up 1,924 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) with 761 free passes. Morton (135-118 career record) holds a FIP of 3.94 while he has faced 8,827 batters during his time in the majors.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .418 and they average 4.81 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have put up 181 two-baggers, while walking 327 times and scoring 481 runs. New York is sitting with 127 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 463 runs batted in. They have struck out on 815 instances (20th in baseball) and have accounted for 859 hits. The New York Mets have earned an OBP of .322 as well as a batting average of .249 on the year.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.315 with a FIP of 4.28 as a squad this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (872 strikeouts vs 387 walks). They come in at 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 791. They have relinquished 110 homers and they surrender 4.70 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 468 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.19 (417 earned runs relinquished).

New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 44 save opportunities and they have earned 28 saves. They are ranked 18th in the league with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have sent 329 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 123 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.5% of 142 inherited runners. With 116 save situations, the Mets have 72 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In their 8,067 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 87 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Mets have recorded 882 assists, 68 errors and have accounted for 2,689 putouts for the year.

Severino (61-40 mark in his career) has a 3.76 ERA and has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.44 and he has faced 3,503 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 352 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.7. During his pro baseball career, Severino has conceded 743 hits while accumulating 876 K's in 842 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta

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