Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, May 12, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-165) New York (+140)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (18-19) will attempt to defeat the Atlanta Braves (23-12) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has Atlanta at -165 and New York opens at +140. The betting total comes in at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Bryce Elder and Luis Severino.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 5th in MLB. They have accounted for 176 runs while holding a team OBP of .325. The Braves have accumulated 73 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 39 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 169 runs batted in and 308 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate sits at .256. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .420 and have been called out on strikes 302 times, while drawing a walk on 111 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.88 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.21. Braves pitchers have given up 36 home runs and 133 runs in total (1st in the league). Atlanta has allowed 276 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 123 earned runs. The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.52 so far this season (9th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 299 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 104 batters and their FIP is 3.82 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Braves have dispatched 110 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 33 runners for the year with 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 11 saves on the season and have blown 6 of their 17 save chances. The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 64.7% and has entered the game in 36 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 19 holds for the year (19th in baseball). Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 29 times and also have had 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 943 putouts for the season, in addition to 354 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them sitting 1st in professional baseball, and have a total of 34 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,829 innings, ranking them 11th in MLB.

Elder (15-9 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.40 while he has faced 1,028 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 223 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 94 free passes. His earned run average is 3.76 (102 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.299. Elder has thrown 244 innings and is sitting with 185 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

New York has a total of 39 HRs for the season as well as 155 runs batted in. They have 53 two-baggers, while getting a free base 121 times as well as earning 163 runs. The New York Mets have tallied a team on-base percentage of .312 and a team batting average of .238 for the year. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .374 and they average 4.41 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have been rung up on 282 occasions (27th in baseball) and have earned 302 base hits.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.315 with a FIP of 3.76 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.20 (340 strikeouts against 165 free passes). They are sitting at 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 273. They have surrendered 26 HR's and they surrender 4.32 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have conceded 160 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.73 (138 earned runs conceded).

New York has had relievers step onto the mound in 15 save opportunities and they have converted 10 saves. They sit at 13th in MLB with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 126 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 56 times in high leverage situations in addition to 37 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.7% of 47 inherited runners. Sitting with 42 save situations, the Mets have amassed 27 holds in addition to 5 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 33 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in baseball). The Mets have accrued 310 assists, 23 errors and have accounted for 999 putouts on the campaign. In 2,997 innings on the field, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (14th in pro baseball).

Severino (56-39 career mark) is the owner of a 3.74 ERA and has surrendered 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.56 and he has gone up against 3,191 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 319 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.185 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, Severino has surrendered 677 hits while accumulating 825 strikeouts in 767 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-165)

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