Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-162) New York (+136)

The Atlanta Braves (22-12) are on their way to Citi Field on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (18-18). The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at -162 and New York is sitting at +136. The betting total is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Christian Scott.

Atlanta has a slugging % of .418 and have been called out on strikes 296 times, while taking a walk on 107 occasions. They have tallied 165 runs batted in as well as 301 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is at .257. The Braves have accounted for 73 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 36 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 172 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .326. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 4th in the league.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Braves pitchers have given up 35 home runs and 131 runs in total (2nd in MLB). Atlanta has conceded 272 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 121 earned runs. The Braves have an earned run average of 3.57 for the year (10th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 289 batters. They have walked 102 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.86 as a squad for the year.

The Braves have sent 108 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 33 runners for the season and 33.3% of those runners crossed the plate. They have compiled 10 saves on the campaign and have blown 6 of 16 chances to save the game. The Braves relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 62.5% and has entered the game in 34 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 18 holds on the year (21st in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 29 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 916 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 345 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .991 which ranks 1st in pro baseball, and they have turned 33 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,748 innings, which has them ranked 12th in professional baseball.

Fried has pitched in 1,755 innings and is sitting with 1,615 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.45 (867 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.369. He has given up 1,863 base hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 540 walks. Fried (97-121 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.11 while going up against 7,556 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Mets have a slugging percentage of .376 and they are scoring 4.47 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have hit 52 two-baggers, while walking 119 times as well as scoring 161 runs. New York has 38 home runs on the year as well as 153 runs batted in. They have struck out on 272 occasions (28th in the league) and have tallied 298 hits. The New York Mets have earned an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .241 so far this season.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.318 in addition to having a FIP of 3.67 as a unit on the campaign. They come in at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 266. The New York pitching staff have conceded 156 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.72 (134 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (334 strikeouts against 161 bases on balls). They have relinquished 23 long balls and they allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league).

With 42 save situations, the Mets have 27 holds and also 5 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 15 save opportunities and they have tallied 10 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 56 times in high leverage situations in addition to 37 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of their 47 inherited base runners. They rank 14th in baseball holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 124 relievers onto the field on the year.

In 2,916 innings played, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 31 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in baseball). The Mets have accrued 296 assists, 22 errors and have earned a total of 972 putouts so far this season.

So far in his career, Scott has allowed 460 hits while earning 741 K's in 579 innings pitched. Scott (36-28 career record) is the owner of a 3.79 ERA while allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 244 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.182 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.29 and he has gone up against 2,392 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (+136) and under 7.5 runs

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