Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/20/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 20, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports South

The Atlanta Braves (82-70) are headed to loanDepot park on Friday where they will try to beat the Miami Marlins (56-96). The expected starting pitchers will be Charlie Morton and Valente Bellozo.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.3 runs per outing, which has them at 16th in baseball. They have tallied 653 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .307. The Braves have hit 262 doubles as a unit and have hit 193 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 625 RBI's as well as 1,235 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .241. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .410 and have struck out 1,374 times, while taking a walk on 455 occasions.

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The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.54 on the campaign (2nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,448 batters. Braves pitchers have conceded 140 home runs in addition to 580 total runs (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 427 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.47 as a team so far this year. Atlanta has given up 1,215 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 533 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.39 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Braves have sent 448 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 140 base runners this year and 31.4% of those players crossed the plate. They have tallied 37 saves for the season and have blown 20 of 57 chances to save the game. The Braves relievers have a save percentage of 64.9% and has come into the game in 119 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 62 holds so far this year (27th in baseball). Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 103 times and also have had 139 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have transformed 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,189 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 4,063 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,347 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 3rd in pro baseball, and have a total of 124 double plays.

Morton has taken the ball for 2,115 innings and has accounted for 2,041 K's in his career. His earned run average is 4.00 (940 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.305. He has conceded 1,979 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) with 781 free passes. Morton (138-121 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.94 and he has gone up against 9,056 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .372 and they score 3.83 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have put up 225 two-baggers, while getting a free base 369 times and scoring 582 runs. Miami has a total of 137 home runs this season and 560 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,300 instances (14th in MLB) and have tallied 1,244 hits. The Miami Marlins have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .297 and a batting average of .241 so far this year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.375 in addition to having a FIP of 4.40 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (1,247 strikeouts against 515 bases on balls). They sit at 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,333. They have given up 181 home runs and they yield 5.26 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have given up 785 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.74 (708 earned runs surrendered).

With 127 save situations, the Marlins have recorded 72 holds and also 25 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 53 save opportunities and they have earned 28 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 172 times in high leverage situations in addition to 160 occasions with runners on base. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.2% out of their 223 inherited runners. They rank 29th in MLB holding a save percentage of 52.8%, and they have dispatched 519 relief pitchers onto the field on the season.

Out of their 12,099 innings played, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (28th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have gotten 110 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Marlins have recorded 1,352 assists, 108 errors and have notched a total of 4,033 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Bellozo has given up 56 base hits while he has earned 39 punch outs in 58 innings. He has given up a total of 24 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and having a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.05 and he has gone up against 250 hitters during his pro baseball career. Bellozo (2-4 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.72 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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