Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/14/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, April 14, 2024

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-198) Miami (+166)

loanDepot park is the location where the Miami Marlins (2-11) will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (7-4) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Braves at -198 while the Marlins open at +166. The total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Charlie Morton and Jesus Luzardo.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 6.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 1st in the league. They have earned 73 runs and have an on-base percentage of .364. The Braves have recorded 33 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 14 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 70 runs batted in and 121 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .303. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .500 and have been rung up 94 times, while taking a walk on 36 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.18 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.41. Braves pitchers have conceded 12 long balls in addition to 59 runs in total (16th in baseball). Atlanta has allowed 97 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 54 earned runs. The Braves hold a team earned run average of 5.01 for the year (25th in the league), and the staff has rung up 87 hitters. They have walked 40 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.37 as a team this year.

The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 10 save situations. The relievers have inherited 11 base runners so far this year with 27.3% of those runners crossed the plate. Braves pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 9 times in addition to having 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 38 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen have recorded 5 holds this season (23rd in the league). They have earned 3 saves for the season and have missed out on 2 of 5 save opportunities.

The Braves have transformed 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 873 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 20th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 291 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 106 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which has them sitting 7th in baseball, and have accumulated 12 double plays.

Morton has taken the hill for 1,971 frames and has 1,890 strikeouts thus far in his career. Morton (131-113 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.78 and he has faced 8,447 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.99 (875 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.305. He has given up 1,845 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 729 free passes.

The Miami Marlins have accounted for an OBP of .270 as well as a team batting average of .204 on the year. They have struck out on 105 instances (13th in the league) and have recorded 89 hits. Miami has tallied 10 home runs this year to go along with 46 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .304 and they have an average of 3.62 runs per game (24th in the league). They have recorded 12 doubles, while getting a free base 37 times and recording 47 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.607 in addition to having a FIP of 5.10 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (107 strikeouts vs 71 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 117. They have given up 16 homers and they yield 5.92 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have yielded 77 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.92 (64 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 12 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 7 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Miami has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 5 save opportunities and they have come away with 1 save. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 11 times in high leverage situations in addition to 12 occasions with base runners. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.4% of 17 inherited runners. They are ranked 30th in MLB with a save percentage of 20.0%, and they have sent 43 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

Out of their 1,053 innings on the field, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (24th in baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 11 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .978 (23rd in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 127 assists, 11 errors and have a tally of 351 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Luzardo has allowed 414 base knocks while accumulating 518 K's in 460 frames. He has allowed a total of 219 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.262 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.10 and he has faced 1,937 opposing hitters during his career. Luzardo (23-30 career mark) has earned a 4.28 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-198)

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