Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, 4/16/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, April 16, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-122) Houston (+104)

The Atlanta Braves (9-5) are headed to Minute Maid Park on Tuesday where they will go up against the Houston Astros (6-11). The odds on this game have Atlanta at -122 and Houston is opening at +104. The total has been set at 10. The expected starting pitchers will be Reynaldo Lopez and Hunter Brown.

The Braves have tallied 42 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 17 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .496 and have struck out 121 times, while being walked on 43 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are earning 6.5 runs per game, which puts them at 1st in the league. They have tallied 87 RBI's and 153 hits on the season, and their batting average sits at .301. They have earned 91 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .361.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.50 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.35. Braves pitchers have conceded 15 home runs in addition to 72 total runs (18th in the league). Atlanta has surrendered 120 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 67 earned runs. The Braves have an earned run average of 4.90 for the year (23rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 115 batters. They have walked 46 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.18 as a unit on the campaign.

Braves pitchers have come into the game with players on base 11 times and also have had 11 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 5 holds over the course of the season (24th in the league). The Braves relievers have earned a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 11 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves on the year and have not converted 2 of their 6 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 14 base runners on the year and 35.7% of those players ended up scoring. The Braves have dispatched 46 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Braves have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,107 innings on the diamond, ranking them 18th in the majors. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 369 putouts so far this season, as well as 138 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .992 which ranks 1st in MLB, and have 15 double plays.

Lopez has taken the mound for 691 frames and has earned 628 punch outs thus far in his career. Lopez (40-49 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.42 and he has gone up against 2,936 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.25 (327 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.295. He has allowed 642 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 254 walks.

The Astros hold a team SLG% of .442 and they tally 4.71 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have 36 doubles, while walking 60 times as well as notching 80 runs. Houston has accumulated 21 long balls this year as well as 77 runs batted in. They have struck out on 110 instances (28th in the league) and have tallied 166 base hits. The Houston Astros have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .348 and a batting average of .277 for the year.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.517 with a FIP of 4.46 as a pitching staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.40 (122 strikeouts vs 74 walks). They come in at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 152. They have allowed 14 home runs and they relinquish 5.62 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The Houston pitching staff have given up 93 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 5.32 (88 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 9 save situations, the Astros have recorded 4 holds and also 4 blown saves. Houston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 5 save chances and they have come away with 1 save. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 13 times in high leverage situations and also on 12 occasions with runners on. Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 15.0% out of their 20 inherited runners. They are ranked 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 20.0%, and they have sent 60 relievers onto the field on the year.

The Houston Astros have gotten 17 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Astros have 143 assists, 8 errors and have amassed 447 putouts so far this season. Out of their 1,341 innings on the diamond, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (23rd in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Brown has allowed 195 base hits while he has totaled 208 punch outs in 183 innings pitched. Brown (13-15 career mark) holds a 5.10 earned run average and has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 104 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.437 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 3.01 and he has gone up against 798 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-122)

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