Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, 4/15/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, April 15, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-122) Houston (+104)

The Atlanta Braves (9-5) are headed to Minute Maid Park on Monday where they will compete against the Houston Astros (6-11). The odds on this game have Atlanta at -122 and Houston is priced at +104. The over/under is 10. The pitchers taking the mound will be Darius Vines and Spencer Arrighetti.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .493 and have struck out 111 times, while drawing a walk on 40 occasions. They have recorded 79 runs batted in as well as 141 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is at .299. The Braves have hit 40 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 15 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 82 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .360. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 6.3 runs per outing, which is 2nd in MLB.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.74 on the campaign (23rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 101 hitters. Braves pitchers have yielded 13 home runs and 65 runs in total (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 44 hitters and their FIP is 4.22 as a team this season. Atlanta has surrendered 111 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 60 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36.

Braves pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 10 times as well as having 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 5 holds this season (24th in baseball). The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.0% and has come into the game in 10 save situations. They have compiled 3 saves on the season and have not converted 2 of their 5 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 13 runners on the year and 30.8% of them crossed home plate. The Braves have sent 42 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Braves have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,026 innings, which has them ranked 17th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 342 putouts for the season, as well as 131 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .992 which has them ranked 1st in MLB, and they have turned 14 double plays.

Vines has taken the hill for 20 innings and has 14 strikeouts thus far in his career. Vines (1-0 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.98 while he has gone up against 84 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.98 (9 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.082. He has given up 15 base hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) with 7 free passes.

Houston has hit 19 home runs so far this season as well as 69 runs batted in. They have 32 two-baggers, while getting a free base 55 times and notching 72 runs. The Houston Astros have an on-base percentage of .345 in addition to a team batting average of .276 this year. The Astros hold a team SLG% of .433 and they are recording 4.50 runs per game (16th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 106 occasions (28th in MLB) and have earned a total of 156 base hits.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.529 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.41 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have a ranking of 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 142. The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 88 runs for the season while having an ERA of 5.34 (83 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.40 (115 strikeouts against 72 walks). They have conceded 12 home runs and they surrender 5.66 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball).

With 9 save situations, the Astros have recorded 4 holds and also 4 blown saves. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 5 save chances and they have earned 1 save. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 13 times in high leverage situations in addition to 12 occasions with base runners. Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 15.0% out of their 20 inherited runners. They rank 29th in the league holding a save rate of 20.0%, and they have dispatched 57 relievers to the hill this year.

In 1,260 innings on the diamond, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (22nd in pro baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 16 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). The Astros have recorded 139 assists, 8 errors and have accounted for 420 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Arrighetti has given up 7 hits and he has 3 strikeouts in 3 innings. He has allowed a total of 7 ER's while earning a WHIP of 3.333 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.00 and he has gone up against 19 opposing hitters so far in his career. Arrighetti (0-1 career record) has earned a 21.00 earned run average while giving up 21.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-122)

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