Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/19/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, September 19, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds (74-78) host the Atlanta Braves (81-70) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers will be Chris Sale and Julian Aguiar.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 16th in the league. They have 646 runs while having a team OBP of .307. The Braves have hit 258 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 191 balls out of the park. They have tallied 618 RBI's in addition to 1,225 base knocks on the year, and their batting average comes in at .240. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .409 and have been called out on strikes 1,364 times, while drawing a walk on 454 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Braves have an earned run average of 3.56 on the season (2nd in MLB), and they have rung up 1,440 hitters. Braves pitchers have given up 140 home runs and 579 runs (2nd in baseball). They have walked 424 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.48 as a squad this season. Atlanta has allowed 1,210 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 532 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.40 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Braves have sent 445 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 140 base runners on the campaign with 31.4% of those players crossed the plate. They have recorded 37 saves on the campaign and have blown 20 out of their 57 save opportunities. The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.9% and has come into the game in 118 save situations. The bullpen have 61 holds over the course of the season (28th in the league). Braves pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 103 times and also have had 139 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have earned a total of 4,036 putouts for the season, as well as 1,338 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which has them ranked 3rd in MLB, and they have turned 123 double plays. The Braves have transformed 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,108 innings on the diamond, ranking them 24th in pro baseball.

Sale has taken the hill for 1,952 innings and has racked up 2,408 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.04 (659 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.044. He has given up 1,585 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 453 free passes. Sale (137-83 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.99 while he has gone up against 7,858 batters in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has accumulated 169 home runs this year to go along with 640 runs batted in. They have hit 249 doubles, while taking a walk 467 times and scoring 674 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have tallied a team OBP of .307 and a team batting average of .233 on the season. The Reds have a team SLG% of .395 and they have an average of 4.43 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,381 occasions (7th in the league) and have tallied 1,169 hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 651 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.07 (607 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 180 homers and they surrender 4.37 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.248 in addition to having a FIP of 4.22 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (1,292 strikeouts against 457 free passes). They are sitting at 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,216.

Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.0% of 217 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 148 times in high leverage situations and on 139 occasions with runners on. With 131 save situations, the Reds have amassed 78 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They are ranked 3rd in MLB with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have sent 502 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Cincinnati has had relievers enter the contest in 50 save opportunities and they have recorded 35 saves.

In their 12,069 innings on the diamond, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 95 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 1,141 assists, 93 errors and are sitting with 4,023 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Aguiar has given up 24 base knocks and he has 15 strikeouts in 27 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 15 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 4.9. His K/BB ratio is 1.50 and he has faced 119 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Aguiar (2-0 career win-loss record) has a 4.96 earned run average and has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here