Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports South

The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-47) will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (51-39) at Chase Field on Thursday. The game can be seen on Max Fried and Brandon Pfaadt.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have accumulated 390 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .307. The Braves have accrued 169 two-baggers as a team and have hit 103 balls out of the stadium. They have 369 runs batted in as well as 738 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is .243. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .406 and have been called out on strikes 802 times, while being walked on 256 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Braves pitchers have conceded 76 long balls and 326 runs in total (1st in the league). Atlanta has conceded 690 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 302 earned runs. The Braves have a team ERA of 3.40 for the year (2nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 808 hitters. They have walked 260 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.52 as a squad so far this year.

Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 58 times and also have had 81 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 38 holds so far this season (26th in MLB). The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 69.4% and stepped onto the hill in 74 save situations. They have compiled 25 saves for the year and have blown 11 of their 36 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 77 base runners so far this year and 32.5% of them earned a run for their team. The Braves have dispatched 263 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Braves have turned 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,200 innings, ranking them 14th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 2,400 putouts this season, as well as 832 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which ranks 1st in professional baseball, and they have turned 75 double plays.

Fried (69-30 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.00 and he has faced 3,316 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 723 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 220 free passes. His ERA is 3.05 (275 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.162. Fried has taken the ball for 811 frames and has racked up 785 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging percentage of .407 and they score 4.89 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have 161 doubles, while taking a walk 299 times and racking up 450 runs. Arizona is sitting with 95 home runs on the campaign and 429 runs batted in. They have struck out on 723 instances (21st in baseball) and have earned a total of 788 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for an OBP of .323 and a team batting average of .253 on the season.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.354 with a FIP of 4.34 as a pitching staff this year. They rank 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 833. The Arizona pitching staff have yielded 447 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.63 (420 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.40 (676 strikeouts vs 272 free passes). They have conceded 107 home runs and they give up 4.93 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Arizona relievers have an inherited score percentage of 43.2% out of their 118 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 85 times in high leverage situations and on 88 occasions with runners on base. With 79 save situations, the Diamondbacks have earned 42 holds and also 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 26th in baseball with a save rate of 54.3%, and they have sent 297 relievers onto the diamond this year. Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 35 save chances and they have converted 19 saves.

In 7,350 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in the majors). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 88 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in the majors). The Diamondbacks have racked up 848 assists, 40 errors and are sitting with 2,450 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Pfaadt has surrendered 211 base knocks and he has 194 strikeouts in 203 frames. Pfaadt (6-15 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.92 ERA while conceding 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 111 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.295 and having a FIP of 4.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.73 and he has faced 867 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona

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