Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+108) San Diego (-125)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-45) are on their way to Petco Park on Sunday where they will compete against the San Diego Padres (49-43). The line on this contest has Arizona at +108 and San Diego is priced at -125. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Ryne Nelson and Dylan Cease.

The Diamondbacks have hit 153 doubles as a unit and have knocked 92 balls out of the park. Arizona has a slugging % of .409 and have been called out on strikes 691 times, while being walked on 286 occasions. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 7th in the league. They have recorded 408 runs batted in as well as 757 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is .254. They are sitting with 428 runs scored and hold an OBP of .325.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team ERA of 4.71 over the course of the season (29th in the league), and their staff has struck out 638 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 103 home runs and 430 runs in total (26th in MLB). They have walked 264 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.38 as a unit this season. Arizona has given up 796 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 407 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.42 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36.

Diamondbacks pitchers have come into the game with runners on 81 times and also have had 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 35 holds so far this season (26th in MLB). The Diamondbacks relievers have compiled a save rate of 56.3% and stepped onto the hill in 69 save situations. They have earned 18 saves on the campaign and have not converted 14 of 32 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 109 runners this year and 45.0% of those players earned a run for their team. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 281 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Diamondbacks have transformed 68.8% of balls in play into outs in their 6,999 innings on the field, which ranks them 26th in professional baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have amassed 2,333 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 812 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which puts them in 4th in the majors, and have 85 double plays.

Nelson has taken the mound for 235 innings and has tallied 161 strikeouts during his MLB career. Nelson (14-15 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.98 while he has gone up against 1,017 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.05 (132 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.421. He has surrendered 263 base hits (10.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 71 free passes.

The Padres hold a team slugging percentage of .413 and they tally 4.68 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have hit 133 two-baggers, while getting a free base 265 times as well as putting up 431 runs. San Diego has a total of 104 home runs this year and 415 runs batted in. They have struck out on 615 occasions (29th in baseball) and have tallied 822 base hits. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .326 and a team batting average of .263 on the campaign.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.273 in addition to having a FIP of 3.93 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (801 strikeouts against 268 walks). They come in at 25th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 765. They have conceded 102 homers and they concede 4.42 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 398 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.09 (369 earned runs yielded).

San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.0% of 138 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 75 times in high leverage situations and on 92 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 84 save situations, the Padres have earned 45 holds and also 14 blown saves. They rank 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have dispatched 300 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign. San Diego has called on relievers to take the mound in 38 save opportunities and they have come away with 24 saves.

Out of their 7,305 innings played, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in the majors). The San Diego Padres have turned 66 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in pro baseball). The Padres have accrued 725 assists, 45 errors and have a total of 2,435 putouts this season.

Cease (50-42 mark in his career) has a 3.88 ERA while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and he has gone up against 3,239 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has conceded 328 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.280 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. So far in his MLB career, Cease has given up 647 base knocks and he has 922 strikeouts in 760 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arizona (+108)

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