Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (88-64). The starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Aaron Civale.

The Diamondbacks have accumulated 258 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 197 balls out of the park. Arizona has a slugging rate of .441 and have been called out on strikes 1,179 times, while being walked on 528 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are earning 5.5 runs per outing, which is 1st in MLB. They have tallied 796 runs batted in as well as 1,370 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is .264. They have earned a total of 835 runs and have an on-base percentage of .337.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.36. Diamondbacks pitchers have relinquished 166 long balls in addition to 742 runs (27th in MLB). Arizona has conceded 1,383 base knocks (9.2 per 9 innings) and 700 earned runs. The Diamondbacks hold a team ERA of 4.65 this year (27th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,200 hitters. They have walked 459 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.13 as a squad this season.

The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 59.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 143 save situations. The relievers have inherited 204 runners for the year and 39.2% of those players ended up scoring. Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 143 times as well as having 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 502 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have a total of 80 holds for the season (11th in the league). They have 36 saves for the season and have missed out on 25 of their 61 save opportunities.

The Diamondbacks have turned 68.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,189 innings on the diamond, ranking them 27th in baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned a total of 4,063 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,375 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which ranks 1st in baseball, and they have turned 133 double plays.

Kelly (52-43 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.76 while he has faced 3,352 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 740 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 251 free passes. His earned run average is 3.82 (345 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.219. Kelly has pitched in 813 innings and has totaled 730 K's in his career.

The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .328 and a team batting average of .249 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,350 occasions (11th in baseball) and have a total of 1,282 base hits. Milwaukee has knocked in 170 home runs on the campaign to go along with 701 runs batted in. The Brewers have a team slugging % of .407 and they are recording 4.84 runs per game (4th in the league). They have put up 235 two-baggers, while walking 571 times as well as scoring 735 runs.

The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.234 with a FIP of 4.20 as a unit this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (1,279 strikeouts vs 459 walks). They have a ranking of 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,216. They have relinquished 184 home runs and they relinquish 3.98 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 600 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.64 (549 earned runs yielded).

Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of their 199 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 192 times in high leverage situations and also on 138 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 147 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 78 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They rank 2nd in the league holding a save percentage of 72.5%, and they have sent 481 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 69 save chances and they have earned 50 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 109 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in pro baseball). The Brewers have racked up 1,263 assists, 80 errors and have a total of 4,071 putouts for the season. Out of their 12,213 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (5th in pro baseball).

Civale (38-34 mark in his career) has a 4.06 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.43 and he has gone up against 2,594 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has allowed 282 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.206 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. So far in his MLB career, Civale has allowed 588 base hits while he has totaled 570 strikeouts in 625 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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