Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/6/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, September 6, 2024

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+127) Houston (+135)

Minute Maid Park is where the Houston Astros (75-64) will attempt to defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks (79-61) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Diamondbacks at +127 while the Astros are sitting at +135. The over/under is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Brandon Pfaadt and Framber Valdez.

As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are notching 5.5 runs per game, which is 1st in the league. They have 763 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .336. The Diamondbacks have tallied 235 doubles as a team and have smacked 177 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 727 RBI's in addition to 1,253 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate sits at .263. Arizona has a slugging rate of .437 and have been called out on strikes 1,082 times, while taking a walk on 487 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34. Diamondbacks pitchers have given up 149 long balls in addition to 668 runs in total (25th in MLB). Arizona has surrendered 1,266 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 630 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have an earned run average of 4.54 on the year (27th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,092 hitters. They have walked 414 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.11 as a team so far this season.

Diamondbacks pitchers have entered the game with runners on 132 times and also have had 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 79 holds for the year (11th in baseball). The Diamondbacks relievers have recorded a save rate of 60.3% and stepped onto the hill in 139 save situations. They have recorded 35 saves so far this year and have blown 23 of 58 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 187 runners this year and 41.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Diamondbacks have sent 461 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated 3,750 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,281 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which has them sitting 1st in the majors, and they have turned 127 double plays. The Diamondbacks have turned 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,250 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 25th in the majors.

Pfaadt has taken the mound for 256 innings and has 249 K's so far in his career. Pfaadt (12-16 career record) holds a FIP of 4.78 while going up against 1,085 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.85 (138 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.273. He has given up 266 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 60 walks.

Houston has recorded 165 home runs this year and 607 RBIs. They have 223 two-baggers, while taking a walk 377 times and putting up 636 runs. The Houston Astros hold a team on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .260 on the campaign. The Astros have a slugging percentage of .418 and they are scoring 4.58 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,024 instances (27th in the league) and have tallied 1,239 hits.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 556 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.76 (515 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 154 homers and they allow 4.06 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.251 and have a FIP of 4.07 as a team over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.30 (1,270 strikeouts vs 491 bases on balls). They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,052.

Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.6% out of 125 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 127 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 138 save situations, the Astros have compiled 80 holds and 22 blown saves. They sit at 21st in MLB with a save percentage of 61.4%, and they have dispatched 438 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Houston has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 57 save opportunities and they have tallied 35 saves.

In their 11,097 innings on the field, the Astros hold a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (6th in professional baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 114 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the majors). The Astros have accrued 1,121 assists, 70 errors and have a total of 3,699 putouts for the season.

During his MLB career, Valdez has conceded 721 base knocks and he has 843 punch outs in 862 frames. Valdez (66-40 record in his career) holds a 3.35 ERA while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 321 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.199 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.69 and he has faced 3,576 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+127)

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