Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+112) Baltimore (-132)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-20) are on their way to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday where they will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (24-12). The moneyline on this contest has Arizona at +112 while Baltimore is priced at -132. The betting total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Ryne Nelson and John Means.

As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.0 runs per outing, which is 6th in baseball. They have earned 190 runs and have an on-base percentage of .326. The Diamondbacks have accounted for 70 doubles as a squad and have knocked 36 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 179 RBI's and 320 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .249. Arizona has a slugging % of .392 and have been called out on strikes 284 times, while drawing a walk on 139 occasions.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.30 on the year (22nd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 287 hitters. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 41 long balls and 177 runs in total (20th in MLB). They have walked 115 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.14 as a team for the season. Arizona has relinquished 327 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 162 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30.

The Diamondbacks have sent 124 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 49 runners for the season and 49.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 8 saves on the campaign and have blown 8 of their 16 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 50.0% and has come into the game in 34 save situations. The bullpen have 16 holds on the year (26th in the league). Diamondbacks pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 35 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Diamondbacks have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,051 innings on the field, which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with 1,017 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 343 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which puts them in 10th in professional baseball, and they have turned 36 double plays.

Nelson has thrown 137 innings and has earned 136 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 5.39 (82 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.343. He has conceded 152 base knocks (10.0 hits per 9 innings) with 32 free passes. Nelson (4-11 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.61 and he has faced 595 batters in the majors.

The Baltimore Orioles have recorded an OBP of .306 as well as a batting average of .247 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 310 occasions (18th in MLB) and have recorded 307 base hits. Baltimore has compiled 57 long balls on the year as well as 180 runs batted in. The Orioles have a team slugging % of .444 and they average 5.19 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have recorded 60 two-baggers, while walking 91 times as well as recording 187 runs.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.113 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.66 as a squad for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (322 strikeouts vs 98 free passes). They have a ranking of 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 266. They have given up 37 dingers and they relinquish 3.69 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 134 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.30 (120 earned runs given up).

Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.5% of 53 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 45 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 50 save situations, the Orioles have earned 30 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They are ranked 20th in the league with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 126 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Baltimore has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 20 save chances and they have walked away with 12 saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (4th in baseball). The Orioles have racked up 339 assists, 14 errors and have a tally of 981 putouts for the year. In 2,943 innings played, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (3rd in professional baseball).

In his career, Means has given up 676 base knocks and he has 674 K's in 673 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 344 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.370 and a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.73 and he has faced 2,897 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Means (34-39 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.60 ERA while surrendering 9.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (-132)

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