Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, June 24, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+190) San Diego (-225)

The Washington Nationals (28-46) are headed to Petco Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the San Diego Padres (36-39). The odds on this game have Washington at +190 while San Diego is sitting at -225. The total is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Josiah Gray and Michael Wacha.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 23rd in MLB. They have earned 305 runs and have an on-base percentage of .319. The Nationals have accounted for 127 two-baggers as a team and have hit 57 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 291 RBI's and 662 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .262. Washington is slugging .392 and have struck out 514 times, while drawing a walk on 185 occasions.

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The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.62 on the year (25th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 545 batters. Nationals pitchers have allowed 99 home runs and also 366 runs in total (25th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 278 opposing players and their FIP is 4.96 as a squad over the course of the season. Washington has surrendered 675 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and also 334 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.96 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.47.

The Nationals have dispatched 225 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 101 base runners for the year and 34.7% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 19 saves on the campaign and have blown 16 of 35 chances to get a save. The Nationals bullpen have recorded a save rate of 54.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 70 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 35 holds on the year (26th in the league). Nationals pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 61 times and also have had 73 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have turned 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,853 innings, which has them ranked 20th in baseball. The Washington Nationals have notched a total of 1,951 putouts this year, as well as 701 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which ranks 28th in pro baseball, and have a total of 72 double plays.

Gray has taken the hill for 303 innings and has earned 302 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.75 (160 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.368. He has surrendered 278 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 137 free passes. Gray (13-18 career record) has a FIP of 5.62 while facing 1,317 hitters during his time in the majors.

San Diego has tallied 89 home runs on the year to go along with 302 runs batted in. They have recorded 132 doubles, while getting a free base 310 times and scoring 319 runs. The San Diego Padres have earned an OBP of .320 as well as a batting average of .231 on the campaign. The Padres hold a team SLG% of .397 and they average 4.25 runs per game (21st in the league). They have been rung up on 648 instances (15th in baseball) and have a total of 567 hits.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.222 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a pitching staff this year. They come in at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 572. The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 291 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.74 (277 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (645 strikeouts against 242 walks). They have surrendered 79 dingers and they concede 3.93 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 33 save opportunities and they have walked away with 20 saves. They are ranked 20th in the league holding a save rate of 60.6%, and they have dispatched 230 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 77 times in high leverage situations and also on 49 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.6% of 81 inherited runners. With 80 save situations, the Padres have 47 holds and also 13 blown saves.

Out of their 5,994 innings played, the Padres are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (2nd in MLB). The San Diego Padres have gotten 63 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in MLB). The Padres have recorded 670 assists, 25 errors and have accounted for 1,998 putouts this season.

During his career, Wacha has surrendered 1,200 hits while accumulating 1,090 punch outs in 1,234 innings pitched. He has allowed 545 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 5,214 hitters so far in his career. Wacha (81-52 career mark) has a 3.97 ERA and has conceded 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-225)

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