Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+120) Pittsburgh (-142)

The Washington Nationals (64-79) are traveling to PNC Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (66-77). The odds on this game have the Nationals at +120 and the Pirates are sitting at -142. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Joan Adon and Bailey Falter.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in MLB. They have 618 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .316. The Nationals have accounted for 242 doubles as a team and have knocked 130 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 586 runs batted in in addition to 1,246 hits for the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .256. Washington has a slugging % of .394 and have been rung up 1,015 times, while being walked on 370 occasions.

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The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.99 for the season (27th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,077 hitters. Nationals pitchers have given up 220 long balls in addition to 747 runs (27th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 517 players from the other team and their FIP is 5.19 as a squad over the course of the season. Washington has surrendered 1,324 base hits (9.4 per 9 innings) and also 700 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.08 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.46.

The Nationals have sent 460 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 211 base runners this year with 35.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 39 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 26 of 65 chances to save the game. The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 136 save situations. The bullpen have notched 71 holds on the year (20th in MLB). Nationals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 133 times and also have had 149 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,370 innings, which has them ranked 19th in the majors. The Washington Nationals have accumulated 3,790 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,328 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them ranked 18th in baseball, and have a total of 139 double plays.

Adon has thrown 104 innings and has tallied 93 strikeouts thus far in his career. Adon (3-13 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.91 and he has gone up against 480 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 6.40 (74 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.596. He has given up 114 hits (9.9 hits per nine innings) with 52 walks.

The Pittsburgh Pirates hold an OBP of .312 in addition to a team batting average of .236 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,262 occasions (11th in the league) and are sitting with 1,122 base knocks. Pittsburgh has accumulated 140 home runs so far this season to go along with 576 runs batted in. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .389 and they are recording 4.20 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have tallied 251 two-baggers, while taking a walk 491 times as well as scoring 601 runs.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.384 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (1,209 strikeouts vs 522 free passes). They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,223. They have given up 152 home runs and they surrender 4.93 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 691 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.52 (634 earned runs allowed).

Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 213 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 146 times in high leverage situations and on 142 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 133 save situations, the Pirates have 73 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in the league holding a save percentage of 70.2%, and they have dispatched 458 relievers onto the field this season. Pittsburgh has had relievers step onto the mound in 57 save chances and they have come away with 40 saves.

In their 11,355 innings on the field, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (24th in the majors). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 119 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (23rd in the majors). The Pirates have recorded 1,203 assists, 81 errors and have accounted for 3,785 putouts so far this year.

Falter (9-13 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.47 earned run average and has surrendered 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.15 and he has gone up against 792 batters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 94 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.257 and having a FIP of 4.6. Thus far in his career, Falter has conceded 199 base knocks while he has totaled 162 punch outs in 189 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-142)

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